Catalyst Edge · Scanner · Tickers · AIG
CATALYST DOSSIER · UPDATED 2026-10-06

$AIG

insurance · convergence 8 · conviction WATCH
Convergence Score
8
Conviction
WATCH
Signals Firing
9
Track Record
0/4
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Why $AIG?

AIG 8 WATCH insurance

Quantitative

  • Revenue (CY2026Q2): $7.08B (-8.0% YoY)

Catalysts

  • Buyback authorization: Buyback authorization 2026-09-24

Risks

  • Position-sizing discipline: Conviction WATCH (8 score) — size accordingly; no specific catalyst-fade risk flagged

Bear case

  • Squeeze unwind: Short interest can compress before retail catches the move — entry timing critical

Sympathy basket (cerebro)

  • CINF via insurance r=+0.00 intra-sector (score -19)
  • PRU via insurance r=+0.00 intra-sector (score -29)
  • ALL via insurance r=+0.00 intra-sector (score -30)
  • MET via insurance r=+0.00 intra-sector (score -30)
  • HIG via insurance r=+0.00 intra-sector (score -31)
  • RNR via insurance r=+0.00 intra-sector (score -31)

Signals Firing

finra_shortdcforphan_leanoge_execbuybackgammaauto_sec_cmgmtauto_sec_debtauto_macro_yield_curve
Each tag is a spoke that flagged this ticker today. Weights tuned weekly against published outcomes.

Pick Track Record

DateListNext-day max runNext-day closeHit +2%?
2026-08-07sec_clean_value-0.4%-1.5%—
2026-08-07sec_clean_moat_core-0.4%-1.5%—
2026-08-07sec_top_gappers-0.4%-1.5%—
2026-08-07sec_top_moat_core-0.4%-1.5%—
Lifetime: 0/4 wins · hit-rate 0.0% on +2% intraday

Sympathy Basket

Tickers Catalyst Edge tracks as moving with this name. Cross-correlation derived from sector + score-cohort proximity.

Earnings Catalyst

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Auto-generated from public filings + tier-1 wires. Catalyst Edge publishes its picks and its losses — see the trust report and methodology. Not financial advice. Confirm independently before trading.

You came here for AIG. You found it after it moved, the same way everyone else did.

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Tier 1 setups touched +2% intraday 47.1% of the time across 429 tracked calls. Baseline for everything else: 39.4%. That is a +7.7 point edge, measured from the NEXT OPEN — the first price you could actually pay, not the prior close. We publish the misses too: https://catalystedgescanner.com/trust/

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