Catalyst Edge · Scanner · Tickers · GOLD
CATALYST DOSSIER · UPDATED 2026-10-06

$GOLD

gold · convergence -18 · conviction AVOID
Convergence Score
-18
Conviction
AVOID
Signals Firing
6
Track Record
4/15
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Why $GOLD?

GOLD -18 AVOID gold

Quantitative

  • Convergence score: -18 (6 signals firing YoY)

Catalysts

  • Corporate action: special_dividend 2026-09-03

Risks

  • Auditor change / restatement: restatement on

Bear case

  • Multiple compression: If breadth deteriorates, gold-wide multiples re-rate lower regardless of pick-specific thesis

Sympathy basket (cerebro)

  • AEM via gold r=+0.00 intra-sector (score -22)
  • WPM via gold r=+0.00 intra-sector (score -25)
  • FNV via gold r=+0.00 intra-sector (score -26)
  • NEM via gold r=+0.00 intra-sector (score -30)
  • GLD via gold r=+0.00 intra-sector (score -31)
  • IAU via gold r=+0.00 intra-sector (score -32)

Signals Firing

orphan_leansec_cryptoaudit_extrasauto_sec_auditauto_sec_debtauto_macro_yield_curve
Each tag is a spoke that flagged this ticker today. Weights tuned weekly against published outcomes.

Pick Track Record

DateListNext-day max runNext-day closeHit +2%?
2026-10-05sec_top_gappers+0.5%+0.1%—
2026-10-05sec_top_moat_emerging+0.5%+0.1%—
2026-10-02sec_clean_gappers+0.4%-1.5%—
2026-10-02sec_top_gappers+0.4%-1.5%—
2026-10-02sec_top_moat_emerging+0.4%-1.5%—
2026-10-01sec_top_gappers+2.4%+0.5%✓ hit
2026-10-01sec_top_moat_emerging+2.4%+0.5%✓ hit
2026-09-18sec_top_gappers+0.7%-3.7%—
2026-09-18sec_top_moat_emerging+0.7%-3.7%—
2026-09-15sec_top_gappers+1.3%-2.1%—
2026-09-15sec_top_moat_emerging+1.3%-2.1%—
2026-09-11sec_top_gappers+0.5%-1.9%—
Lifetime: 4/15 wins · hit-rate 26.7% on +2% intraday

Sympathy Basket

Tickers Catalyst Edge tracks as moving with this name. Cross-correlation derived from sector + score-cohort proximity.

Earnings Catalyst

No recent earnings event.

Auto-generated from public filings + tier-1 wires. Catalyst Edge publishes its picks and its losses — see the trust report and methodology. Not financial advice. Confirm independently before trading.

You came here for GOLD. You found it after it moved, the same way everyone else did.

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Tier 1 setups touched +2% intraday 47.1% of the time across 429 tracked calls. Baseline for everything else: 39.4%. That is a +7.7 point edge, measured from the NEXT OPEN — the first price you could actually pay, not the prior close. We publish the misses too: https://catalystedgescanner.com/trust/

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