Active M&A and tender offers, ranked by deal spread and time-to-close. Tender prices, go-shop windows, and termination fees are all surfaced. We tag deals where the spread is wider than 5% — the implied break risk premium.
When a company files an SC TO-T (tender offer) or DEFA14A (proxy solicitation), it signals active acquisition negotiations. These filings are legally required and appear on EDGAR before the market fully prices the event.
Tender offers often come with a premium to current price. Proxy fights indicate activist investors pushing for board changes. Both create short-term catalysts that momentum traders watch closely.
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Tier 1 setups touched +2% intraday 49.5% of the time across 329 tracked calls. Baseline for everything else: 40.8%. That is a +8.7 point edge, measured from the NEXT OPEN — the first price you could actually pay, not the prior close. We publish the misses too: https://catalystedgescanner.com/trust/
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