Catalyst Edge · Scanner · Tickers · AAOI
CATALYST DOSSIER · UPDATED 2026-11-05

$AAOI

semis · convergence -10 · conviction AVOID
Convergence Score
-10
Conviction
AVOID
Signals Firing
6
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Why $AAOI?

AAOI -10 AVOID semis

Quantitative

  • Net Income (CY2026Q2): $-22.8M (-150.4% YoY)

Catalysts

  • Multi-spoke convergence: 6 convergent signals fired: earnings, sc13d, audit_extras, auto_macro_adp_payrolls, auto_macro_durable_goods

Risks

  • Position-sizing discipline: Conviction AVOID (-10 score) — size accordingly; no specific catalyst-fade risk flagged

Bear case

  • Earnings binary: Print-day moves can swing ±15% — gap risk both directions

Sympathy basket (cerebro)

  • APP via tech r=+0.89 sympathetic (score 19)
  • STEM via tech r=+0.89 sympathetic (score 19)
  • VSEC via industrials r=+0.72 sympathetic (score 23)
  • GNK via industrials r=+0.72 sympathetic (score 14)
  • TAP via staples r=-0.60 divergent (score 9)
  • CHSN via staples r=-0.60 divergent (score 5)

Signals Firing

earningssc13daudit_extrasauto_macro_adp_payrollsauto_macro_durable_goodsauto_macro_fx_rates
Each tag is a spoke that flagged this ticker today. Weights tuned weekly against published outcomes.

Recent SEC Filings

Sympathy Basket

Tickers Catalyst Edge tracks as moving with this name. Cross-correlation derived from sector + score-cohort proximity.

Earnings Catalyst

No recent earnings event.

Auto-generated from public filings + tier-1 wires. Catalyst Edge publishes its picks and its losses — see the trust report and methodology. Not financial advice. Confirm independently before trading.

You came here for AAOI. You found it after it moved, the same way everyone else did.

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