Catalyst Edge · Scanner · Tickers · ADTN
CATALYST DOSSIER · UPDATED 2026-09-24

$ADTN

Unclassified · convergence — · conviction —
Convergence Score
—
Conviction
—
Signals Firing
0
Track Record
0/5
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Why $ADTN?

ADTN -32 AVOID comms

Quantitative

  • Net Income (CY2026Q1): $-1.3M (+88.3% YoY)

Catalysts

  • Multi-spoke convergence: 7 convergent signals fired: alpha, xbrl_ni, auto_macro_edgar_fts, auto_macro_nasa_power, auto_macro_ofr_fsi

Risks

  • Position-sizing discipline: Conviction AVOID (-32 score) — size accordingly; no specific catalyst-fade risk flagged

Bear case

  • Multiple compression: If breadth deteriorates, comms-wide multiples re-rate lower regardless of pick-specific thesis

Sympathy basket (cerebro)

  • CWD via real_estate r=+0.84 sympathetic (score 3)
  • FREI via real_estate r=+0.84 sympathetic (score 2)
  • YHC via staples r=+0.63 sympathetic (score 5)
  • MZTI via staples r=+0.63 sympathetic (score 3)

Signals Firing

No active signals this cycle.
Each tag is a spoke that flagged this ticker today. Weights tuned weekly against published outcomes.

Pick Track Record

DateListNext-day max runNext-day closeHit +2%?
2026-08-04sec_top_gappers-1.5%-9.7%—
2026-08-04sec_top_moat_emerging-1.5%-9.7%—
2026-07-28sec_clean_value+0.3%-7.5%—
2026-07-28sec_top_gappers+0.3%-7.5%—
2026-07-28sec_top_moat_emerging+0.3%-7.5%—
Lifetime: 0/5 wins · hit-rate 0.0% on +2% intraday

Earnings Catalyst

No recent earnings event.

Auto-generated from public filings + tier-1 wires. Catalyst Edge publishes its picks and its losses — see the trust report and methodology. Not financial advice. Confirm independently before trading.

You came here for ADTN. You found it after it moved, the same way everyone else did.

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Tier 1 setups touched +2% intraday 48.5% of the time across 355 tracked calls. Baseline for everything else: 40.2%. That is a +8.3 point edge, measured from the NEXT OPEN — the first price you could actually pay, not the prior close. We publish the misses too: https://catalystedgescanner.com/trust/

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