What is the Catalyst Edge convergence score for ADUR?

As of 2026-09-10, ADUR has a convergence score of — with conviction tier — and 0 independent signals firing. Score is a weighted aggregate across SEC filings, insider activity, options flow, dark-pool prints, short-squeeze metrics, and macro regime.

How is ADUR's score calculated?

Each signal contributes weighted points; weights are auto-tuned weekly against published outcome history. Full methodology + audit at https://catalystedgescanner.com/methodology/ and https://catalystedgescanner.com/trust/.

How accurate has Catalyst Edge been on ADUR?

On the last 8 published picks featuring ADUR, 2 hit the +2% intraday threshold (25% hit rate). Outcomes audited daily.

Catalyst Edge · Scanner · Tickers · ADUR

CATALYST DOSSIER · UPDATED 2026-09-10

$ADUR

Unclassified · convergence — · conviction —

Convergence Score

—

Conviction

—

Signals Firing

Track Record

2/8

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Why $ADUR?

ADUR -19 AVOID materials

Quantitative

Convergence score: -19 (4 signals firing YoY)

Catalysts

Multi-spoke convergence: 4 convergent signals fired: auto_macro_inflation_expectations, auto_macro_move_index, auto_macro_mta_ridership, auto_macro_swpc_forecast

Risks

Position-sizing discipline: Conviction AVOID (-19 score) — size accordingly; no specific catalyst-fade risk flagged

Bear case

Multiple compression: If breadth deteriorates, materials-wide multiples re-rate lower regardless of pick-specific thesis

Sympathy basket (cerebro)

SURG via comms r=+0.68 sympathetic (score 2)
TBCH via comms r=+0.68 sympathetic (score -5)
CON via biotech r=+0.62 sympathetic (score 9)
MDLN via biotech r=+0.62 sympathetic (score 9)

Signals Firing

No active signals this cycle.

Each tag is a spoke that flagged this ticker today. Weights tuned weekly against published outcomes.

Pick Track Record

Date	List	Next-day max run	Next-day close	Hit +2%?
2026-09-08	sec_top_gappers	+0.4%	-1.3%	—
2026-09-08	sec_top_moat_emerging	+0.4%	-1.3%	—
2026-09-03	sec_top_gappers	+0.2%	-2.2%	—
2026-09-03	sec_top_moat_emerging	+0.2%	-2.2%	—
2026-09-02	sec_top_gappers	+1.7%	+0.6%	—
2026-09-02	sec_top_moat_emerging	+1.7%	+0.6%	—
2026-09-01	sec_top_gappers	+4.2%	+3.4%	✓ hit
2026-09-01	sec_top_moat_emerging	+4.2%	+3.4%	✓ hit

Lifetime: 2/8 wins · hit-rate 25.0% on +2% intraday

Earnings Catalyst

No recent earnings event.

Auto-generated from public filings + tier-1 wires. Catalyst Edge publishes its picks and its losses — see the trust report and methodology. Not financial advice. Confirm independently before trading.

You came here for ADUR. You found it after it moved, the same way everyone else did.

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Tier 1 setups touched +2% intraday 48.9% of the time across 374 tracked calls. Baseline for everything else: 41.0%. That is a +7.9 point edge, measured from the NEXT OPEN — the first price you could actually pay, not the prior close. We publish the misses too: https://catalystedgescanner.com/trust/

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