Catalyst Edge · Scanner · Tickers · ADV
CATALYST DOSSIER · UPDATED 2026-09-24

$ADV

Unclassified · convergence — · conviction —
Convergence Score
—
Conviction
—
Signals Firing
0
Track Record
0/4
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Why $ADV?

ADV -11 AVOID industrials

Quantitative

  • Revenue (CY2026Q1): $869.6M (+5.8% YoY)
  • Net Income (CY2026Q1): $-71.8M (-28.0% YoY)

Catalysts

  • Multi-spoke convergence: 9 convergent signals fired: squeeze, smart, earnings, dcf, short

Risks

  • Hard-to-borrow / FTD risk: Borrow rate 1.0%, distress score 14

Bear case

  • Squeeze unwind: Short interest can compress before retail catches the move — entry timing critical
  • Earnings binary: Print-day moves can swing ±15% — gap risk both directions

Sympathy basket (cerebro)

  • CSWC via financials r=+0.89 sympathetic (score 11)
  • ASB via financials r=+0.89 sympathetic (score 8)
  • SKYQ via utilities r=+0.88 sympathetic (score 8)
  • ORA via utilities r=+0.88 sympathetic (score 3)
  • CWD via real_estate r=+0.60 sympathetic (score -3)
  • FREI via real_estate r=+0.60 sympathetic (score -4)

Signals Firing

No active signals this cycle.
Each tag is a spoke that flagged this ticker today. Weights tuned weekly against published outcomes.

Pick Track Record

DateListNext-day max runNext-day closeHit +2%?
2026-09-04sec_top_gappers+0.3%-1.8%—
2026-09-04sec_top_moat_emerging+0.3%-1.8%—
2026-08-05sec_top_gappers-4.8%-23.3%—
2026-08-05sec_top_moat_emerging-4.8%-23.3%—
Lifetime: 0/4 wins · hit-rate 0.0% on +2% intraday

Earnings Catalyst

No recent earnings event.

Auto-generated from public filings + tier-1 wires. Catalyst Edge publishes its picks and its losses — see the trust report and methodology. Not financial advice. Confirm independently before trading.

You came here for ADV. You found it after it moved, the same way everyone else did.

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Tier 1 setups touched +2% intraday 48.5% of the time across 355 tracked calls. Baseline for everything else: 40.2%. That is a +8.3 point edge, measured from the NEXT OPEN — the first price you could actually pay, not the prior close. We publish the misses too: https://catalystedgescanner.com/trust/

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