Catalyst Edge · Scanner · Tickers · AEC
CATALYST DOSSIER · UPDATED 2026-10-02

$AEC

materials · convergence -26 · conviction AVOID
Convergence Score
-26
Conviction
AVOID
Signals Firing
4
Track Record
8/10
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Why $AEC?

AEC -26 AVOID materials

Quantitative

  • Convergence score: -26 (4 signals firing YoY)

Catalysts

  • Multi-spoke convergence: 4 convergent signals fired: auto_macro_credit_spreads, auto_macro_edgar_fts, auto_macro_term_premium, auto_macro_treasury_fiscal

Risks

  • Position-sizing discipline: Conviction AVOID (-26 score) — size accordingly; no specific catalyst-fade risk flagged

Bear case

  • Multiple compression: If breadth deteriorates, materials-wide multiples re-rate lower regardless of pick-specific thesis

Sympathy basket (cerebro)

  • SMA via financials r=+0.86 sympathetic (score 24)
  • CBOE via financials r=+0.86 sympathetic (score 18)
  • VOYG via industrials r=+0.75 sympathetic (score 18)
  • SEI via industrials r=+0.75 sympathetic (score 14)
  • FAMI via staples r=+0.66 sympathetic (score 6)
  • VYLR via staples r=+0.66 sympathetic (score -2)

Signals Firing

auto_macro_credit_spreadsauto_macro_edgar_ftsauto_macro_term_premiumauto_macro_treasury_fiscal
Each tag is a spoke that flagged this ticker today. Weights tuned weekly against published outcomes.

Recent SEC Filings

Pick Track Record

DateListNext-day max runNext-day closeHit +2%?
2026-09-15sec_top_gappers+2.2%-2.4%✓ hit
2026-09-15sec_top_moat_emerging+2.2%-2.4%✓ hit
2026-09-10sec_top_gappers+2.2%-3.6%✓ hit
2026-09-10sec_top_moat_emerging+2.2%-3.6%✓ hit
2026-08-31sec_top_gappers-1.4%-5.2%—
2026-08-31sec_top_moat_emerging-1.4%-5.2%—
2026-08-10sec_top_gappers+7.2%+5.6%✓ hit
2026-08-10sec_top_moat_emerging+7.2%+5.6%✓ hit
2026-08-03sec_top_gappers+4.5%+0.5%✓ hit
2026-08-03sec_top_moat_emerging+4.5%+0.5%✓ hit
Lifetime: 8/10 wins · hit-rate 80.0% on +2% intraday

Sympathy Basket

Tickers Catalyst Edge tracks as moving with this name. Cross-correlation derived from sector + score-cohort proximity.

Earnings Catalyst

No recent earnings event.

Auto-generated from public filings + tier-1 wires. Catalyst Edge publishes its picks and its losses — see the trust report and methodology. Not financial advice. Confirm independently before trading.

You came here for AEC. You found it after it moved, the same way everyone else did.

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Tier 1 setups touched +2% intraday 48.9% of the time across 372 tracked calls. Baseline for everything else: 39.8%. That is a +9.1 point edge, measured from the NEXT OPEN — the first price you could actually pay, not the prior close. We publish the misses too: https://catalystedgescanner.com/trust/

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