CATALYST DOSSIER · UPDATED 2026-11-13
$AEHL
comms · convergence 4 · conviction WATCH
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Why $AEHL?
Quantitative
Convergence score : 4 (8 signals firing YoY)
Catalysts
Multi-spoke convergence : 8 convergent signals fired: regsho, finra_short, auto_regsho_threshold, auto_macro_adp_payrolls, auto_macro_banrep_colombia
Risks
Hard-to-borrow / FTD risk : Borrow rate 6.0%, distress score 30
Reg SHO threshold list : On NASDAQ threshold list (2026-11-12)
Bear case
Squeeze unwind : Short interest can compress before retail catches the move — entry timing critical
Sympathy basket (cerebro)
FCPT via financials r=+0.98 sympathetic (score 24)
NOAH via financials r=+0.98 sympathetic (score 24)
PCT via materials r=+0.98 sympathetic (score 19)
USAS via materials r=+0.98 sympathetic (score 19)
RZLT via biotech r=+0.97 sympathetic (score 34)
OWLT via biotech r=+0.97 sympathetic (score 25)
Signals Firing
regsho finra_short auto_regsho_threshold auto_macro_adp_payrolls auto_macro_banrep_colombia auto_macro_bls_employment auto_macro_durable_goods auto_macro_wiki_pageviews
Pick Track Record Date List Next-day max run Next-day close Hit +2%? 2026-10-01 sec_top_gappers +2.8% -1.6% ✓ hit 2026-10-01 sec_top_moat_emerging +2.8% -1.6% ✓ hit 2026-09-24 sec_top_gappers +7.0% +4.5% ✓ hit 2026-09-24 sec_top_moat_emerging +7.0% +4.5% ✓ hit
Lifetime: 4/4 wins · hit-rate 100.0% on +2% intraday
Sympathy Basket FCPT via financials · score 24 NOAH via financials · score 24 PCT via materials · score 19 USAS via materials · score 19 RZLT via biotech · score 34 OWLT via biotech · score 25
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