Catalyst Edge · Scanner · Tickers · AFRM
CATALYST DOSSIER · UPDATED 2026-11-12

$AFRM

financials · convergence -10 · conviction AVOID
Convergence Score
-10
Conviction
AVOID
Signals Firing
7
Track Record
2/4
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Why $AFRM?

AFRM -10 AVOID financials

Quantitative

  • Net Margin (CY2026Q3): 13.0%

Catalysts

  • Multi-spoke convergence: 7 convergent signals fired: fed_overlay, audit_extras, sector_overlay, auto_macro_adp_payrolls, auto_macro_banrep_colombia

Risks

  • Position-sizing discipline: Conviction AVOID (-10 score) — size accordingly; no specific catalyst-fade risk flagged

Bear case

  • Multiple compression: If breadth deteriorates, financials-wide multiples re-rate lower regardless of pick-specific thesis

Sympathy basket (cerebro)

  • DPC via materials r=+0.94 sympathetic (score 14)
  • LAC via materials r=+0.94 sympathetic (score 12)
  • DOLE via staples r=+0.91 sympathetic (score 1)
  • BRBR via staples r=+0.91 sympathetic (score -1)
  • OPEN via real_estate r=+0.91 sympathetic (score 0)
  • AEI via real_estate r=+0.91 sympathetic (score -2)

Signals Firing

fed_overlayaudit_extrassector_overlayauto_macro_adp_payrollsauto_macro_banrep_colombiaauto_macro_bls_employmentauto_macro_durable_goods
Each tag is a spoke that flagged this ticker today. Weights tuned weekly against published outcomes.

Pick Track Record

DateListNext-day max runNext-day closeHit +2%?
2026-10-27sec_top_gappers+1.4%+0.9%—
2026-10-27sec_top_moat_emerging+1.4%+0.9%—
2026-10-26sec_top_gappers+5.7%+4.6%✓ hit
2026-10-26sec_top_moat_emerging+5.7%+4.6%✓ hit
Lifetime: 2/4 wins · hit-rate 50.0% on +2% intraday

Sympathy Basket

Tickers Catalyst Edge tracks as moving with this name. Cross-correlation derived from sector + score-cohort proximity.

Earnings Catalyst

No recent earnings event.

Auto-generated from public filings + tier-1 wires. Catalyst Edge publishes its picks and its losses — see the trust report and methodology. Not financial advice. Confirm independently before trading.

You came here for AFRM. You found it after it moved, the same way everyone else did.

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