Catalyst Edge · Scanner · Tickers · AIFU
CATALYST DOSSIER · UPDATED 2026-10-12

$AIFU

Unclassified · convergence — · conviction —
Convergence Score
—
Conviction
—
Signals Firing
0
Track Record
12/14
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Why $AIFU?

AIFU -9 WATCH financials

Quantitative

  • Convergence score: -9 (8 signals firing YoY)

Catalysts

  • Multi-spoke convergence: 8 convergent signals fired: sc13d, fed_overlay, audit_extras, sector_overlay, auto_macro_edgar_fts

Risks

  • Material agreement / debt arrangement: plan_of_arrangement

Bear case

  • Multiple compression: If breadth deteriorates, financials-wide multiples re-rate lower regardless of pick-specific thesis

Sympathy basket (cerebro)

  • FAMI via staples r=+0.95 sympathetic (score -2)
  • ABEV via staples r=+0.95 sympathetic (score -11)
  • VOYG via industrials r=+0.84 sympathetic (score 17)
  • GEO via industrials r=+0.84 sympathetic (score 12)
  • BKV via materials r=+0.79 sympathetic (score 17)
  • CTVA via materials r=+0.79 sympathetic (score 4)

Signals Firing

No active signals this cycle.
Each tag is a spoke that flagged this ticker today. Weights tuned weekly against published outcomes.

Pick Track Record

DateListNext-day max runNext-day closeHit +2%?
2026-09-29sec_top_gappers+1.7%-6.6%—
2026-09-29sec_top_moat_emerging+1.7%-6.6%—
2026-09-25sec_top_gappers+12.1%-26.7%✓ hit
2026-09-25sec_top_moat_emerging+12.1%-26.7%✓ hit
2026-09-24sec_top_gappers+35.7%+32.1%✓ hit
2026-09-24sec_top_moat_emerging+35.7%+32.1%✓ hit
2026-09-10sec_top_gappers+5.3%-13.5%✓ hit
2026-09-10sec_top_moat_emerging+5.3%-13.5%✓ hit
2026-09-09sec_top_gappers+4.3%-19.7%✓ hit
2026-09-09sec_top_moat_emerging+4.3%-19.7%✓ hit
2026-08-31sec_top_gappers+9.4%+2.7%✓ hit
2026-08-31sec_top_moat_emerging+9.4%+2.7%✓ hit
Lifetime: 12/14 wins · hit-rate 85.7% on +2% intraday

Earnings Catalyst

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Auto-generated from public filings + tier-1 wires. Catalyst Edge publishes its picks and its losses — see the trust report and methodology. Not financial advice. Confirm independently before trading.

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Tier 1 setups touched +2% intraday 46.7% of the time across 445 tracked calls. Baseline for everything else: 39.0%. That is a +7.7 point edge, measured from the NEXT OPEN — the first price you could actually pay, not the prior close. We publish the misses too: https://catalystedgescanner.com/trust/

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