Catalyst Edge · Scanner · Tickers · AMTD
CATALYST DOSSIER · UPDATED 2026-10-15

$AMTD

financials · convergence -10 · conviction AVOID
Convergence Score
-10
Conviction
AVOID
Signals Firing
6
Track Record
2/6
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Why $AMTD?

AMTD -10 AVOID financials

Quantitative

  • Convergence score: -10 (6 signals firing YoY)

Catalysts

  • Multi-spoke convergence: 6 convergent signals fired: finra_short, gap, finra_regsho, fed_overlay, sector_overlay

Risks

  • Hard-to-borrow / FTD risk: Borrow rate 6.0%, distress score 30

Bear case

  • Squeeze unwind: Short interest can compress before retail catches the move — entry timing critical

Sympathy basket (cerebro)

  • VOYG via industrials r=+0.91 sympathetic (score 10)
  • LGIH via industrials r=+0.91 sympathetic (score 7)
  • LRHC via real_estate r=+0.91 sympathetic (score -12)
  • AEI via real_estate r=+0.91 sympathetic (score -13)
  • PAG via consumer r=+0.63 sympathetic (score 18)
  • MOD via consumer r=+0.63 sympathetic (score 1)

Signals Firing

finra_shortgapfinra_regshofed_overlaysector_overlayauto_macro_credit_spreads
Each tag is a spoke that flagged this ticker today. Weights tuned weekly against published outcomes.

Pick Track Record

DateListNext-day max runNext-day closeHit +2%?
2026-10-07sec_top_gappers+0.2%-11.4%—
2026-10-07sec_top_moat_emerging+0.2%-11.4%—
2026-10-06sec_top_gappers-5.9%-9.1%—
2026-10-06sec_top_moat_emerging-5.9%-9.1%—
2026-09-30sec_top_gappers+2.6%-0.8%✓ hit
2026-09-30sec_top_moat_emerging+2.6%-0.8%✓ hit
Lifetime: 2/6 wins · hit-rate 33.3% on +2% intraday

Sympathy Basket

Tickers Catalyst Edge tracks as moving with this name. Cross-correlation derived from sector + score-cohort proximity.

Earnings Catalyst

No recent earnings event.

Auto-generated from public filings + tier-1 wires. Catalyst Edge publishes its picks and its losses — see the trust report and methodology. Not financial advice. Confirm independently before trading.

You came here for AMTD. You found it after it moved, the same way everyone else did.

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Tier 1 setups touched +2% intraday 46.8% of the time across 457 tracked calls. Baseline for everything else: 38.7%. That is a +8.1 point edge, measured from the NEXT OPEN — the first price you could actually pay, not the prior close. We publish the misses too: https://catalystedgescanner.com/trust/

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