CATALYST DOSSIER · UPDATED 2026-11-06
$AMZN
tech_mega · convergence -9 · conviction WATCH
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Why $AMZN?
Quantitative
Net Income (CY2026Q2) : $62.65B (+244.9% YoY)
Catalysts
Multi-spoke convergence : 11 convergent signals fired: reddit, usa_spend, macro, orphan_lean, xbrl_ni
Risks
Position-sizing discipline : Conviction WATCH (-9 score) — size accordingly; no specific catalyst-fade risk flagged
Bear case
Multiple compression : If breadth deteriorates, tech_mega-wide multiples re-rate lower regardless of pick-specific thesis
Sympathy basket (cerebro)
META via tech_mega r=+0.00 intra-sector (score 7)
QQQ via tech_mega r=+0.00 intra-sector (score -3)
CRM via tech_mega r=+0.00 intra-sector (score -8)
GOOGL via tech_mega r=+0.00 intra-sector (score -9)
TSLA via tech_mega r=+0.00 intra-sector (score -9)
XLK via tech_mega r=+0.00 intra-sector (score -10)
Signals Firing
reddit usa_spend macro orphan_lean xbrl_ni oge_exec edgar_phrases auto_macro_adp_payrolls auto_macro_durable_goods auto_macro_fx_rates auto_macro_yield_curve
Pick Track Record Date List Next-day max run Next-day close Hit +2%? 2026-10-30 sec_top_gappers +5.6% +2.2% ✓ hit 2026-10-30 sec_top_moat_core +5.6% +2.2% ✓ hit 2026-09-28 sec_top_gappers +1.1% +0.2% — 2026-09-28 sec_top_moat_core +1.1% +0.2% — 2026-09-25 sec_top_gappers -0.8% -1.4% — 2026-09-25 sec_top_moat_core -0.8% -1.4% — 2026-09-24 sec_top_gappers +0.6% +0.1% — 2026-09-24 sec_top_moat_core +0.6% +0.1% —
Lifetime: 2/8 wins · hit-rate 25.0% on +2% intraday
Sympathy Basket META via tech_mega · score 7 QQQ via tech_mega · score -3 CRM via tech_mega · score -8 GOOGL via tech_mega · score -9 TSLA via tech_mega · score -9 XLK via tech_mega · score -10
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