Catalyst Edge · Scanner · Tickers · APVO
CATALYST DOSSIER · UPDATED 2026-10-12

$APVO

biotech · convergence -20 · conviction AVOID
Convergence Score
-20
Conviction
AVOID
Signals Firing
2
Track Record
12/19
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Why $APVO?

APVO -20 AVOID biotech

Quantitative

  • Net Income (CY2026Q2): $-6.4M (-245.0% YoY)

Catalysts

  • Multi-spoke convergence: 2 convergent signals fired: pill, auto_sec_poison_pill

Risks

  • Position-sizing discipline: Conviction AVOID (-20 score) — size accordingly; no specific catalyst-fade risk flagged

Bear case

  • Multiple compression: If breadth deteriorates, biotech-wide multiples re-rate lower regardless of pick-specific thesis

Sympathy basket (cerebro)

  • NFE via utilities r=-0.57 divergent (score 20)
  • VIVK via utilities r=-0.57 divergent (score -4)
  • KPTI via biotech r=+0.00 intra-sector (score 11)
  • BRVO via biotech r=+0.00 intra-sector (score 5)
  • PDSB via biotech r=+0.00 intra-sector (score 1)
  • JAZZ via biotech r=+0.00 intra-sector (score 0)

Signals Firing

pillauto_sec_poison_pill
Each tag is a spoke that flagged this ticker today. Weights tuned weekly against published outcomes.

Pick Track Record

DateListNext-day max runNext-day closeHit +2%?
2026-09-24sec_top_gappers+3.8%+3.3%✓ hit
2026-09-24sec_top_moat_emerging+3.8%+3.3%✓ hit
2026-09-23sec_clean_gappers+0.5%-3.2%—
2026-09-23sec_top_gappers+0.5%-3.2%—
2026-09-23sec_top_moat_emerging+0.5%-3.2%—
2026-09-03sec_top_gappers+5.0%+1.8%✓ hit
2026-09-03sec_top_moat_emerging+5.0%+1.8%✓ hit
2026-09-02sec_top_gappers-16.2%-34.2%—
2026-09-02sec_top_moat_emerging-16.2%-34.2%—
2026-09-01sec_top_gappers+18.4%+11.1%✓ hit
2026-09-01sec_top_moat_emerging+18.4%+11.1%✓ hit
2026-08-25sec_top_gappers+3.7%-2.0%✓ hit
Lifetime: 12/19 wins · hit-rate 63.2% on +2% intraday

Sympathy Basket

Tickers Catalyst Edge tracks as moving with this name. Cross-correlation derived from sector + score-cohort proximity.

Earnings Catalyst

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Auto-generated from public filings + tier-1 wires. Catalyst Edge publishes its picks and its losses — see the trust report and methodology. Not financial advice. Confirm independently before trading.

You came here for APVO. You found it after it moved, the same way everyone else did.

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Tier 1 setups touched +2% intraday 46.7% of the time across 445 tracked calls. Baseline for everything else: 39.0%. That is a +7.7 point edge, measured from the NEXT OPEN — the first price you could actually pay, not the prior close. We publish the misses too: https://catalystedgescanner.com/trust/

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