What is the Catalyst Edge convergence score for AREC?

As of 2026-09-28, AREC has a convergence score of — with conviction tier — and 0 independent signals firing. Score is a weighted aggregate across SEC filings, insider activity, options flow, dark-pool prints, short-squeeze metrics, and macro regime.

How is AREC's score calculated?

Each signal contributes weighted points; weights are auto-tuned weekly against published outcome history. Full methodology + audit at https://catalystedgescanner.com/methodology/ and https://catalystedgescanner.com/trust/.

How accurate has Catalyst Edge been on AREC?

On the last 7 published picks featuring AREC, 4 hit the +2% intraday threshold (57% hit rate). Outcomes audited daily.

Catalyst Edge · Scanner · Tickers · AREC

CATALYST DOSSIER · UPDATED 2026-09-28

$AREC

Unclassified · convergence — · conviction —

Convergence Score

—

Conviction

—

Signals Firing

Track Record

4/7

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Why $AREC?

AREC 2 WATCH materials

Quantitative

Forward EPS estimate: $($0.09) (vs $($0.10) last yr YoY)
Market cap: $285,613,296
Convergence score: 2 (12 signals firing YoY)

Catalysts

Corporate action: special_dividend 2026-07-24

Risks

Hard-to-borrow / FTD risk: Borrow rate 1.0%, distress score 19
Auditor change / restatement: non_reliance on

Bear case

Squeeze unwind: Short interest can compress before retail catches the move — entry timing critical
Earnings binary: Print-day moves can swing ±15% — gap risk both directions

Sympathy basket (cerebro)

VNCE via consumer r=+0.90 sympathetic (score 28)
BURL via consumer r=+0.90 sympathetic (score 25)
TXNM via utilities r=-0.71 divergent (score 7)
VIVK via utilities r=-0.71 divergent (score 7)
VCTR via financials r=+0.56 sympathetic (score 46)
AAME via financials r=+0.56 sympathetic (score 38)

Signals Firing

No active signals this cycle.

Each tag is a spoke that flagged this ticker today. Weights tuned weekly against published outcomes.

Pick Track Record

Date	List	Next-day max run	Next-day close	Hit +2%?
2026-08-26	sec_clean_gappers	-0.7%	-4.9%	—
2026-08-26	sec_top_gappers	-0.7%	-4.9%	—
2026-08-26	sec_top_moat_emerging	-0.7%	-4.9%	—
2026-08-04	sec_top_gappers	+6.4%	+5.4%	✓ hit
2026-08-04	sec_top_moat_emerging	+6.4%	+5.4%	✓ hit
2026-07-31	sec_top_gappers	+13.7%	+13.4%	✓ hit
2026-07-31	sec_top_moat_emerging	+13.7%	+13.4%	✓ hit

Lifetime: 4/7 wins · hit-rate 57.1% on +2% intraday

Earnings Catalyst

No recent earnings event.

Auto-generated from public filings + tier-1 wires. Catalyst Edge publishes its picks and its losses — see the trust report and methodology. Not financial advice. Confirm independently before trading.

You came here for AREC. You found it after it moved, the same way everyone else did.

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Tier 1 setups touched +2% intraday 48.1% of the time across 343 tracked calls. Baseline for everything else: 40.2%. That is a +7.9 point edge, measured from the NEXT OPEN — the first price you could actually pay, not the prior close. We publish the misses too: https://catalystedgescanner.com/trust/

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