CATALYST DOSSIER · UPDATED 2026-11-09
$ATYR
biotech · convergence -14 · conviction AVOID
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Why $ATYR?
Quantitative
Net Income (CY2026Q2) : $-10.3M (+47.2% YoY)
Catalysts
Multi-spoke convergence : 8 convergent signals fired: audit_extras, auto_macro_adp_payrolls, auto_macro_banrep_colombia, auto_macro_bls_employment, auto_macro_durable_goods
Risks
Position-sizing discipline : Conviction AVOID (-14 score) — size accordingly; no specific catalyst-fade risk flagged
Bear case
Multiple compression : If breadth deteriorates, biotech-wide multiples re-rate lower regardless of pick-specific thesis
Sympathy basket (cerebro)
QBTS via tech r=+0.98 sympathetic (score 26)
CIIT via tech r=+0.98 sympathetic (score 24)
HYSR via semis r=+0.88 sympathetic (score 13)
INDI via semis r=+0.88 sympathetic (score 13)
SKYD via comms r=+0.70 sympathetic (score 27)
SNT via comms r=+0.70 sympathetic (score 22)
Signals Firing
audit_extras auto_macro_adp_payrolls auto_macro_banrep_colombia auto_macro_bls_employment auto_macro_durable_goods auto_macro_fx_rates auto_macro_options_gex auto_macro_yield_curve
Pick Track Record Date List Next-day max run Next-day close Hit +2%? 2026-10-16 sec_clean_gappers +5.7% -1.1% ✓ hit 2026-10-16 sec_top_gappers +5.7% -1.1% ✓ hit 2026-10-16 sec_top_moat_emerging +5.7% -1.1% ✓ hit 2026-09-24 sec_top_gappers -6.2% -9.8% — 2026-09-24 sec_top_moat_emerging -6.2% -9.8% — 2026-09-15 sec_top_gappers +1.8% -1.3% — 2026-09-15 sec_top_moat_emerging +1.8% -1.3% — 2026-09-11 sec_top_gappers +0.9% -9.5% — 2026-09-11 sec_top_moat_emerging +0.9% -9.5% —
Lifetime: 3/9 wins · hit-rate 33.3% on +2% intraday
Sympathy Basket QBTS via tech · score 26 CIIT via tech · score 24 HYSR via semis · score 13 INDI via semis · score 13 SKYD via comms · score 27 SNT via comms · score 22
Earnings Catalyst No recent earnings event.
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Auto-generated from public filings + tier-1 wires. Catalyst Edge publishes its picks
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