What is the Catalyst Edge convergence score for AVAV?

As of 2026-11-05, AVAV has a convergence score of — with conviction tier — and 0 independent signals firing. Score is a weighted aggregate across SEC filings, insider activity, options flow, dark-pool prints, short-squeeze metrics, and macro regime.

How is AVAV's score calculated?

Each signal contributes weighted points; weights are auto-tuned weekly against published outcome history. Full methodology + audit at https://catalystedgescanner.com/methodology/ and https://catalystedgescanner.com/trust/.

How accurate has Catalyst Edge been on AVAV?

On the last 8 published picks featuring AVAV, 2 hit the +2% intraday threshold (25% hit rate). Outcomes audited daily.

Catalyst Edge · Scanner · Tickers · AVAV

CATALYST DOSSIER · UPDATED 2026-11-05

$AVAV

Unclassified · convergence — · conviction —

Convergence Score

—

Conviction

—

Signals Firing

Track Record

2/8

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Why $AVAV?

AVAV -8 WATCH industrials

Quantitative

Convergence score: -8 (5 signals firing YoY)

Catalysts

Multi-spoke convergence: 5 convergent signals fired: finra_short, auto_macro_nbp_fx, auto_macro_swpc_forecast, auto_macro_treasury_fiscal, auto_macro_yield_curve

Risks

Position-sizing discipline: Conviction WATCH (-8 score) — size accordingly; no specific catalyst-fade risk flagged

Bear case

Squeeze unwind: Short interest can compress before retail catches the move — entry timing critical

Sympathy basket (cerebro)

VYLR via staples r=-0.65 divergent (score 46)
YHC via staples r=-0.65 divergent (score 25)
VREX via semis r=+0.59 sympathetic (score 19)
MVIS via semis r=+0.59 sympathetic (score 18)
TENB via tech r=+0.52 sympathetic (score 55)
BLZE via tech r=+0.52 sympathetic (score 38)

Signals Firing

No active signals this cycle.

Each tag is a spoke that flagged this ticker today. Weights tuned weekly against published outcomes.

Pick Track Record

Date	List	Next-day max run	Next-day close	Hit +2%?
2026-09-25	sec_top_gappers	-0.5%	-3.2%	—
2026-09-25	sec_top_moat_core	-0.5%	-3.2%	—
2026-09-15	sec_top_gappers	+0.5%	-0.3%	—
2026-09-15	sec_top_moat_core	+0.5%	-0.3%	—
2026-09-11	sec_top_gappers	+6.4%	+4.6%	✓ hit
2026-09-11	sec_top_moat_core	+6.4%	+4.6%	✓ hit
2026-09-10	sec_top_gappers	+0.0%	-0.2%	—
2026-09-10	sec_top_moat_core	+0.0%	-0.2%	—

Lifetime: 2/8 wins · hit-rate 25.0% on +2% intraday

Earnings Catalyst

No recent earnings event.

Auto-generated from public filings + tier-1 wires. Catalyst Edge publishes its picks and its losses — see the trust report and methodology. Not financial advice. Confirm independently before trading.

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