What is the Catalyst Edge convergence score for AVAV?

As of 2026-09-21, AVAV has a convergence score of — with conviction tier — and 0 independent signals firing. Score is a weighted aggregate across SEC filings, insider activity, options flow, dark-pool prints, short-squeeze metrics, and macro regime.

How is AVAV's score calculated?

Each signal contributes weighted points; weights are auto-tuned weekly against published outcome history. Full methodology + audit at https://catalystedgescanner.com/methodology/ and https://catalystedgescanner.com/trust/.

How accurate has Catalyst Edge been on AVAV?

On the last 13 published picks featuring AVAV, 2 hit the +2% intraday threshold (15% hit rate). Outcomes audited daily.

Catalyst Edge · Scanner · Tickers · AVAV

CATALYST DOSSIER · UPDATED 2026-09-21

$AVAV

Unclassified · convergence — · conviction —

Convergence Score

—

Conviction

—

Signals Firing

Track Record

2/13

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Why $AVAV?

AVAV 0 WATCH industrials

Quantitative

Convergence score: 0 (10 signals firing YoY)

Catalysts

Multi-spoke convergence: 10 convergent signals fired: alpha, finra_short, finra_regsho, edgar_phrases, auto_macro_credit_spreads

Risks

Hard-to-borrow / FTD risk: Borrow rate 6.0%, distress score 30

Bear case

Squeeze unwind: Short interest can compress before retail catches the move — entry timing critical

Sympathy basket (cerebro)

RLMD via biotech r=+0.88 sympathetic (score 20)
COO via biotech r=+0.88 sympathetic (score 19)
AGNT via real_estate r=+0.78 sympathetic (score 25)
RITR via real_estate r=+0.78 sympathetic (score 8)
LXFR via materials r=+0.77 sympathetic (score 19)
ASPI via materials r=+0.77 sympathetic (score 16)

Signals Firing

No active signals this cycle.

Each tag is a spoke that flagged this ticker today. Weights tuned weekly against published outcomes.

Pick Track Record

Date	List	Next-day max run	Next-day close	Hit +2%?
2026-09-15	sec_top_gappers	+0.5%	-0.3%	—
2026-09-15	sec_top_moat_core	+0.5%	-0.3%	—
2026-09-11	sec_top_gappers	+6.4%	+4.6%	✓ hit
2026-09-11	sec_top_moat_core	+6.4%	+4.6%	✓ hit
2026-09-10	sec_top_gappers	+0.0%	-0.2%	—
2026-09-10	sec_top_moat_core	+0.0%	-0.2%	—
2026-08-18	sec_top_gappers	+0.3%	-0.8%	—
2026-08-18	sec_top_moat_core	+0.3%	-0.8%	—
2026-08-17	sec_top_gappers	+0.8%	-3.9%	—
2026-08-17	sec_top_moat_emerging	+0.8%	-3.9%	—
2026-08-14	sec_clean_value	-0.4%	-6.1%	—
2026-08-14	sec_top_gappers	-0.4%	-6.1%	—

Lifetime: 2/13 wins · hit-rate 15.4% on +2% intraday

Earnings Catalyst

No recent earnings event.

Auto-generated from public filings + tier-1 wires. Catalyst Edge publishes its picks and its losses — see the trust report and methodology. Not financial advice. Confirm independently before trading.

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Tier 1 setups touched +2% intraday 49.5% of the time across 329 tracked calls. Baseline for everything else: 40.8%. That is a +8.7 point edge, measured from the NEXT OPEN — the first price you could actually pay, not the prior close. We publish the misses too: https://catalystedgescanner.com/trust/

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