Catalyst Edge · Scanner · Tickers · AVXL
CATALYST DOSSIER · UPDATED 2026-09-25

$AVXL

biotech · convergence -14 · conviction AVOID
Convergence Score
-14
Conviction
AVOID
Signals Firing
6
Track Record
22/57
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Why $AVXL?

AVXL -14 AVOID biotech

Quantitative

  • Net Income (CY2026Q2): $7.8M (+159.1% YoY)

Catalysts

  • Multi-spoke convergence: 6 convergent signals fired: xbrl_ni, sec_fda, auto_setup_classifier, auto_macro_edgar_fts, auto_macro_ofac_sanctions

Risks

  • Financial restatement: 2 restatement filing(s); investor confidence risk

Bear case

  • Multiple compression: If breadth deteriorates, biotech-wide multiples re-rate lower regardless of pick-specific thesis

Sympathy basket (cerebro)

  • AEI via real_estate r=+0.95 sympathetic (score 6)
  • OPEN via real_estate r=+0.95 sympathetic (score 3)
  • NFE via utilities r=+0.94 sympathetic (score 50)
  • EVRG via utilities r=+0.94 sympathetic (score 17)
  • GPI via consumer r=+0.90 sympathetic (score 28)
  • NXXT via consumer r=+0.90 sympathetic (score 24)

Signals Firing

xbrl_nisec_fdaauto_setup_classifierauto_macro_edgar_ftsauto_macro_ofac_sanctionsauto_macro_options_gex
Each tag is a spoke that flagged this ticker today. Weights tuned weekly against published outcomes.

Pick Track Record

DateListNext-day max runNext-day closeHit +2%?
2026-09-21sec_top_gappers+3.8%-2.1%✓ hit
2026-09-21sec_top_moat_emerging+3.8%-2.1%✓ hit
2026-09-18sec_top_gappers+0.0%-0.8%—
2026-09-18sec_top_moat_emerging+0.0%-0.8%—
2026-09-17sec_top_gappers+1.7%+0.4%—
2026-09-17sec_top_moat_emerging+1.7%+0.4%—
2026-09-16sec_top_gappers+5.1%+2.1%✓ hit
2026-09-16sec_top_moat_emerging+5.1%+2.1%✓ hit
2026-09-15sec_top_gappers+1.2%-3.3%—
2026-09-15sec_top_moat_emerging+1.2%-3.3%—
2026-09-14sec_top_gappers-0.4%-6.2%—
2026-09-14sec_top_moat_emerging-0.4%-6.2%—
Lifetime: 22/57 wins · hit-rate 38.6% on +2% intraday

Sympathy Basket

Tickers Catalyst Edge tracks as moving with this name. Cross-correlation derived from sector + score-cohort proximity.

Earnings Catalyst

No recent earnings event.

Auto-generated from public filings + tier-1 wires. Catalyst Edge publishes its picks and its losses — see the trust report and methodology. Not financial advice. Confirm independently before trading.

You came here for AVXL. You found it after it moved, the same way everyone else did.

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Tier 1 setups touched +2% intraday 48.7% of the time across 355 tracked calls. Baseline for everything else: 40.3%. That is a +8.4 point edge, measured from the NEXT OPEN — the first price you could actually pay, not the prior close. We publish the misses too: https://catalystedgescanner.com/trust/

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