Catalyst Edge · Scanner · Tickers · AXP
CATALYST DOSSIER · UPDATED 2026-09-21

$AXP

financials · convergence 33 · conviction ELEVATED
Convergence Score
33
Conviction
ELEVATED
Signals Firing
15
Track Record
4/10
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Why $AXP?

AXP 33 ELEVATED financials

Quantitative

  • Net Income (CY2026Q2): $3.11B (+7.8% YoY)

Catalysts

  • Multi-spoke convergence: 15 convergent signals fired: dcf, oge_exec, pill, gamma, fed_overlay

Risks

  • Position-sizing discipline: Conviction ELEVATED (33 score) — size accordingly; no specific catalyst-fade risk flagged

Bear case

  • Multiple compression: If breadth deteriorates, financials-wide multiples re-rate lower regardless of pick-specific thesis

Sympathy basket (cerebro)

  • FTCI via semis r=+0.60 sympathetic (score 15)
  • AVGO via semis r=+0.60 sympathetic (score 14)
  • HPQ via tech r=+0.54 sympathetic (score 43)
  • FNGR via tech r=+0.54 sympathetic (score 38)
  • DINO via energy r=+0.50 sympathetic (score 15)
  • YPF via energy r=+0.50 sympathetic (score 7)

Signals Firing

dcfoge_execpillgammafed_overlaysector_overlayauto_sec_bankingauto_sec_poison_pillauto_setup_classifierauto_macro_credit_spreadsauto_macro_edgar_ftsauto_macro_eia_petroleumauto_macro_nasa_powerauto_macro_ofac_sanctionsauto_macro_term_premium
Each tag is a spoke that flagged this ticker today. Weights tuned weekly against published outcomes.

Pick Track Record

DateListNext-day max runNext-day closeHit +2%?
2026-08-04sec_top_gappers+1.7%+0.7%—
2026-08-04sec_top_moat_core+1.7%+0.7%—
2026-07-28sec_top_gappers-0.1%-1.5%—
2026-07-28sec_top_moat_core-0.1%-1.5%—
2026-07-27sec_top_gappers+0.4%+0.4%—
2026-07-27sec_top_moat_core+0.4%+0.4%—
2026-07-24sec_clean_value+3.2%+2.8%✓ hit
2026-07-24sec_clean_moat_core+3.2%+2.8%✓ hit
2026-07-24sec_top_gappers+3.2%+2.8%✓ hit
2026-07-24sec_top_moat_core+3.2%+2.8%✓ hit
Lifetime: 4/10 wins · hit-rate 40.0% on +2% intraday

Sympathy Basket

Tickers Catalyst Edge tracks as moving with this name. Cross-correlation derived from sector + score-cohort proximity.

Earnings Catalyst

No recent earnings event.

Auto-generated from public filings + tier-1 wires. Catalyst Edge publishes its picks and its losses — see the trust report and methodology. Not financial advice. Confirm independently before trading.

You came here for AXP. You found it after it moved, the same way everyone else did.

$99 once — every ticker on this site ranked before the open.

Tier 1 setups touched +2% intraday 49.5% of the time across 329 tracked calls. Baseline for everything else: 40.8%. That is a +8.7 point edge, measured from the NEXT OPEN — the first price you could actually pay, not the prior close. We publish the misses too: https://catalystedgescanner.com/trust/

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