Catalyst Edge · Scanner · Tickers · AXR
CATALYST DOSSIER · UPDATED 2026-09-24

$AXR

real_estate · convergence -4 · conviction WATCH
Convergence Score
-4
Conviction
WATCH
Signals Firing
6
Track Record
4/16
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Why $AXR?

AXR -4 WATCH real_estate

Quantitative

  • Net Income (CY2026Q2): $276.0K (-94.1% YoY)

Catalysts

  • Multi-spoke convergence: 6 convergent signals fired: dcf, split, auto_setup_classifier, auto_macro_credit_spreads, auto_macro_ofac_sanctions

Risks

  • Position-sizing discipline: Conviction WATCH (-4 score) — size accordingly; no specific catalyst-fade risk flagged

Bear case

  • Multiple compression: If breadth deteriorates, real_estate-wide multiples re-rate lower regardless of pick-specific thesis

Sympathy basket (cerebro)

  • REZI via consumer r=+0.96 sympathetic (score 27)
  • NXXT via consumer r=+0.96 sympathetic (score 23)
  • JAZZ via biotech r=+0.95 sympathetic (score 30)
  • KPTI via biotech r=+0.95 sympathetic (score 22)
  • IPDN via tech r=+0.82 sympathetic (score 26)
  • FNGR via tech r=+0.82 sympathetic (score 21)

Signals Firing

dcfsplitauto_setup_classifierauto_macro_credit_spreadsauto_macro_ofac_sanctionsauto_macro_options_gex
Each tag is a spoke that flagged this ticker today. Weights tuned weekly against published outcomes.

Pick Track Record

DateListNext-day max runNext-day closeHit +2%?
2026-09-15sec_top_gappers+1.5%-1.1%—
2026-09-15sec_top_moat_emerging+1.5%-1.1%—
2026-09-14sec_top_gappers+2.0%-0.3%—
2026-09-14sec_top_moat_emerging+2.0%-0.3%—
2026-09-11sec_top_gappers+2.0%-0.6%—
2026-09-11sec_top_moat_emerging+2.0%-0.6%—
2026-08-06sec_top_gappers+2.5%+1.2%✓ hit
2026-08-06sec_top_moat_emerging+2.5%+1.2%✓ hit
2026-08-05sec_top_gappers+0.1%-1.9%—
2026-08-05sec_top_moat_emerging+0.1%-1.9%—
2026-07-30sec_top_gappers+0.0%-1.0%—
2026-07-30sec_top_moat_emerging+0.0%-1.0%—
Lifetime: 4/16 wins · hit-rate 25.0% on +2% intraday

Sympathy Basket

Tickers Catalyst Edge tracks as moving with this name. Cross-correlation derived from sector + score-cohort proximity.

Earnings Catalyst

No recent earnings event.

Auto-generated from public filings + tier-1 wires. Catalyst Edge publishes its picks and its losses — see the trust report and methodology. Not financial advice. Confirm independently before trading.

You came here for AXR. You found it after it moved, the same way everyone else did.

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Tier 1 setups touched +2% intraday 48.3% of the time across 344 tracked calls. Baseline for everything else: 40.4%. That is a +7.9 point edge, measured from the NEXT OPEN — the first price you could actually pay, not the prior close. We publish the misses too: https://catalystedgescanner.com/trust/

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