CATALYST DOSSIER · UPDATED 2026-11-06
$BAM
financials · convergence -1 · conviction WATCH
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Why $BAM?
Quantitative
Revenue (CY2026Q2) : $1.75B (+60.8% YoY)
Net Income (CY2026Q2) : $1.17B (+100.7% YoY)
Catalysts
Multi-spoke convergence : 10 convergent signals fired: earnings, finra_short, xbrl_ni, fed_overlay, sector_overlay
Risks
Hard-to-borrow / FTD risk : Borrow rate 6.0%, distress score 20
Bear case
Squeeze unwind : Short interest can compress before retail catches the move — entry timing critical
Earnings binary : Print-day moves can swing ±15% — gap risk both directions
Sympathy basket (cerebro)
TILE via consumer r=+0.99 sympathetic (score 20)
ATMU via consumer r=+0.99 sympathetic (score 15)
AEI via real_estate r=+0.97 sympathetic (score -1)
OMH via real_estate r=+0.97 sympathetic (score -7)
AMR via materials r=+0.96 sympathetic (score 27)
SLVM via materials r=+0.96 sympathetic (score 14)
Signals Firing
earnings finra_short xbrl_ni fed_overlay sector_overlay auto_macro_adp_payrolls auto_macro_bls_employment auto_macro_durable_goods auto_macro_fx_rates auto_macro_yield_curve
Pick Track Record Date List Next-day max run Next-day close Hit +2%? 2026-09-28 sec_top_gappers +1.1% +1.1% — 2026-09-28 sec_top_moat_emerging +1.1% +1.1% — 2026-09-15 sec_top_gappers +1.0% -1.4% — 2026-09-15 sec_top_moat_emerging +1.0% -1.4% — 2026-09-14 sec_clean_gappers +0.2% -1.7% — 2026-09-14 sec_top_gappers +0.2% -1.7% — 2026-09-14 sec_top_moat_emerging +0.2% -1.7% —
Lifetime: 0/7 wins · hit-rate 0.0% on +2% intraday
Sympathy Basket TILE via consumer · score 20 ATMU via consumer · score 15 AEI via real_estate · score -1 OMH via real_estate · score -7 AMR via materials · score 27 SLVM via materials · score 14
Earnings Catalyst No recent earnings event.
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Auto-generated from public filings + tier-1 wires. Catalyst Edge publishes its picks
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