Catalyst Edge · Scanner · Tickers · BCAX
CATALYST DOSSIER · UPDATED 2026-09-21

$BCAX

biotech · convergence 13 · conviction WATCH
Convergence Score
13
Conviction
WATCH
Signals Firing
10
Track Record
3/6
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Why $BCAX?

BCAX 13 WATCH biotech

Quantitative

  • Net Income (CY2026Q2): $-55.4M (-102.4% YoY)

Catalysts

  • Multi-spoke convergence: 10 convergent signals fired: sec_fda, audit_extras, auto_sec_cmgmt, auto_sec_geopol, auto_setup_classifier

Risks

  • Position-sizing discipline: Conviction WATCH (13 score) — size accordingly; no specific catalyst-fade risk flagged

Bear case

  • Multiple compression: If breadth deteriorates, biotech-wide multiples re-rate lower regardless of pick-specific thesis

Sympathy basket (cerebro)

  • REZI via consumer r=+0.94 sympathetic (score 34)
  • OLOX via consumer r=+0.94 sympathetic (score 30)
  • NFE via utilities r=+0.72 sympathetic (score 53)
  • OPTT via utilities r=+0.72 sympathetic (score 26)
  • UTZ via staples r=+0.66 sympathetic (score 14)
  • KHC via staples r=+0.66 sympathetic (score 13)

Signals Firing

sec_fdaaudit_extrasauto_sec_cmgmtauto_sec_geopolauto_setup_classifierauto_macro_edgar_ftsauto_macro_eia_petroleumauto_macro_nasa_powerauto_macro_ofac_sanctionsauto_macro_term_premium
Each tag is a spoke that flagged this ticker today. Weights tuned weekly against published outcomes.

Pick Track Record

DateListNext-day max runNext-day closeHit +2%?
2026-08-11sec_clean_value+5.8%+3.7%✓ hit
2026-08-11sec_top_gappers+5.8%+3.7%✓ hit
2026-08-11sec_top_moat_emerging+5.8%+3.7%✓ hit
2026-07-28sec_clean_value+0.6%-3.7%
2026-07-28sec_top_gappers+0.6%-3.7%
2026-07-28sec_top_moat_emerging+0.6%-3.7%
Lifetime: 3/6 wins · hit-rate 50.0% on +2% intraday

Sympathy Basket

Tickers Catalyst Edge tracks as moving with this name. Cross-correlation derived from sector + score-cohort proximity.

Earnings Catalyst

No recent earnings event.

Auto-generated from public filings + tier-1 wires. Catalyst Edge publishes its picks and its losses — see the trust report and methodology. Not financial advice. Confirm independently before trading.

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Tier 1 setups touched +2% intraday 49.5% of the time across 329 tracked calls. Baseline for everything else: 40.8%. That is a +8.7 point edge, measured from the NEXT OPEN — the first price you could actually pay, not the prior close. We publish the misses too: https://catalystedgescanner.com/trust/

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