CATALYST DOSSIER · UPDATED 2026-11-05
$BGDE
financials · convergence 6 · conviction WATCH
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Why $BGDE?
Quantitative
Revenue (CY2026Q2) : $6.2M (-35.5% YoY)
Net Income (CY2026Q2) : $-7.4M (+8.1% YoY)
Catalysts
Multi-spoke convergence : 8 convergent signals fired: earnings, pill, fed_overlay, sector_overlay, auto_sec_poison_pill
Risks
Position-sizing discipline : Conviction WATCH (6 score) — size accordingly; no specific catalyst-fade risk flagged
Bear case
Earnings binary : Print-day moves can swing ±15% — gap risk both directions
Sympathy basket (cerebro)
HYFM via consumer r=+0.97 sympathetic (score 8)
LCII via consumer r=+0.97 sympathetic (score 8)
AEI via real_estate r=+0.92 sympathetic (score 1)
OPEN via real_estate r=+0.92 sympathetic (score 1)
ARIS via materials r=+0.84 sympathetic (score 22)
MUR via materials r=+0.84 sympathetic (score 19)
Signals Firing
earnings pill fed_overlay sector_overlay auto_sec_poison_pill auto_macro_adp_payrolls auto_macro_durable_goods auto_macro_fx_rates
Pick Track Record Date List Next-day max run Next-day close Hit +2%? 2026-10-27 sec_top_gappers +0.7% -2.0% — 2026-10-27 sec_top_moat_emerging +0.7% -2.0% — 2026-10-26 sec_top_gappers +16.2% +10.1% ✓ hit 2026-10-26 sec_top_moat_emerging +16.2% +10.1% ✓ hit 2026-09-29 sec_top_gappers +4.9% +0.2% ✓ hit 2026-09-29 sec_top_moat_emerging +4.9% +0.2% ✓ hit 2026-09-28 sec_top_gappers +3.2% +1.1% ✓ hit 2026-09-28 sec_top_moat_emerging +3.2% +1.1% ✓ hit 2026-09-24 sec_top_gappers +0.2% -7.7% — 2026-09-24 sec_top_moat_emerging +0.2% -7.7% — 2026-09-21 sec_top_gappers +0.8% -2.7% — 2026-09-21 sec_top_moat_emerging +0.8% -2.7% —
Lifetime: 6/12 wins · hit-rate 50.0% on +2% intraday
Sympathy Basket HYFM via consumer · score 8 LCII via consumer · score 8 AEI via real_estate · score 1 OPEN via real_estate · score 1 ARIS via materials · score 22 MUR via materials · score 19
Earnings Catalyst No recent earnings event.
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Auto-generated from public filings + tier-1 wires. Catalyst Edge publishes its picks
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Not financial advice. Confirm independently before trading.