Catalyst Edge · Scanner · Tickers · BNED
CATALYST DOSSIER · UPDATED 2026-09-24

$BNED

consumer · convergence -12 · conviction AVOID
Convergence Score
-12
Conviction
AVOID
Signals Firing
4
Track Record
6/17
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Why $BNED?

BNED -12 AVOID consumer

Quantitative

  • Revenue (CY2026Q2): $290.6M (+85.0% YoY)
  • Net Income (CY2026Q2): $-12.9M (+29.3% YoY)

Catalysts

  • Multi-spoke convergence: 4 convergent signals fired: auto_setup_classifier, auto_macro_credit_spreads, auto_macro_ofac_sanctions, auto_macro_options_gex

Risks

  • Insider planned sale (Form 144): <b>Filed:</b> 2026-09-23 <b>AccNo:</b> 0001959173-26-007095 <b>Size:</b> 5 KB 2026-09-23

Bear case

  • Multiple compression: If breadth deteriorates, consumer-wide multiples re-rate lower regardless of pick-specific thesis

Sympathy basket (cerebro)

  • AEI via real_estate r=+0.96 sympathetic (score 7)
  • OPEN via real_estate r=+0.96 sympathetic (score 4)
  • IPDN via tech r=+0.94 sympathetic (score 26)
  • ATKR via tech r=+0.94 sympathetic (score 21)
  • JAZZ via biotech r=+0.89 sympathetic (score 30)
  • KPTI via biotech r=+0.89 sympathetic (score 22)

Signals Firing

auto_setup_classifierauto_macro_credit_spreadsauto_macro_ofac_sanctionsauto_macro_options_gex
Each tag is a spoke that flagged this ticker today. Weights tuned weekly against published outcomes.

Pick Track Record

DateListNext-day max runNext-day closeHit +2%?
2026-09-15sec_top_gappers+0.1%-2.8%
2026-09-15sec_top_moat_emerging+0.1%-2.8%
2026-09-14sec_top_gappers+0.3%-2.0%
2026-09-14sec_top_moat_emerging+0.3%-2.0%
2026-09-10sec_top_gappers+5.2%+2.8%✓ hit
2026-09-10sec_top_moat_emerging+5.2%+2.8%✓ hit
2026-09-09sec_top_gappers+5.7%+0.8%✓ hit
2026-09-09sec_top_moat_emerging+5.7%+0.8%✓ hit
2026-09-08sec_clean_gappers-3.3%-11.6%
2026-09-08sec_top_gappers-3.3%-11.6%
2026-09-08sec_top_moat_emerging-3.3%-11.6%
2026-08-17sec_top_gappers+2.4%+0.7%✓ hit
Lifetime: 6/17 wins · hit-rate 35.3% on +2% intraday

Sympathy Basket

Tickers Catalyst Edge tracks as moving with this name. Cross-correlation derived from sector + score-cohort proximity.

Earnings Catalyst

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Auto-generated from public filings + tier-1 wires. Catalyst Edge publishes its picks and its losses — see the trust report and methodology. Not financial advice. Confirm independently before trading.

You came here for BNED. You found it after it moved, the same way everyone else did.

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Tier 1 setups touched +2% intraday 48.3% of the time across 344 tracked calls. Baseline for everything else: 40.4%. That is a +7.9 point edge, measured from the NEXT OPEN — the first price you could actually pay, not the prior close. We publish the misses too: https://catalystedgescanner.com/trust/

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