Catalyst Edge · Scanner · Tickers · BW-PA
CATALYST DOSSIER · UPDATED 2026-10-08

$BW-PA

Unclassified · convergence — · conviction —
Convergence Score
—
Conviction
—
Signals Firing
0
Track Record
0/6
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Why $BW-PA?

BW-PA 10 1R focus

Quantitative

  • Last price: $22.37
  • ATR(14): $0.580
  • Setup: Entry $22.37 → Stop $22.95 → T1 $21.79 → T2 $21.21 (2.60% R per leg YoY)

Catalysts

  • Dilution / supply forms: Recent SEC filings: S-3 — bearish supply signal
  • Short scanner signals: S-3 (+5)
  • Recency: Last bearish filing 2541 minutes ago
  • SEC filing link: https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1630805/000110465926064745/0001104659-26-064745-index.htm

Risks

  • Squeeze risk: Stop $22.95 = 2.6% gap above entry — single news catalyst can blow through stop
  • Hard-to-borrow tail: Bearish setups on RegSHO threshold names face borrow-rate spikes and recall risk

Bear case

  • Bullish surprise (short-thesis failure): If issuer cancels offering or upsizes deal terms, dilution premise resolves favorably and shorts cover above $22.95
  • Sector rotation tailwind: Sector group bid in a risk-on day means even weak names rally — short timing matters

Sympathy basket (cerebro)

  • UWMC via financials r=+0.00 score-cohort (score 37)
  • BANR via financials r=+0.00 score-cohort (score 30)
  • GOVX via biotech r=+0.00 score-cohort (score 30)
  • CBU via financials r=+0.00 score-cohort (score 28)
  • SLDE via financials r=+0.00 score-cohort (score 28)
  • SMBK via financials r=+0.00 score-cohort (score 28)

Signals Firing

No active signals this cycle.
Each tag is a spoke that flagged this ticker today. Weights tuned weekly against published outcomes.

Pick Track Record

DateListNext-day max runNext-day closeHit +2%?
2026-08-17sec_top_gappers-0.4%-0.9%—
2026-08-17sec_top_moat_emerging-0.4%-0.9%—
2026-08-14sec_top_gappers+1.0%-0.3%—
2026-08-14sec_top_moat_emerging+1.0%-0.3%—
2026-08-13sec_top_gappers+1.9%+0.7%—
2026-08-13sec_top_moat_emerging+1.9%+0.7%—
Lifetime: 0/6 wins · hit-rate 0.0% on +2% intraday

Earnings Catalyst

No recent earnings event.

Auto-generated from public filings + tier-1 wires. Catalyst Edge publishes its picks and its losses — see the trust report and methodology. Not financial advice. Confirm independently before trading.

You came here for BW-PA. You found it after it moved, the same way everyone else did.

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Tier 1 setups touched +2% intraday 47.0% of the time across 438 tracked calls. Baseline for everything else: 39.7%. That is a +7.3 point edge, measured from the NEXT OPEN — the first price you could actually pay, not the prior close. We publish the misses too: https://catalystedgescanner.com/trust/

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