CATALYST DOSSIER · UPDATED 2026-11-05
$BZAI
semis · convergence 0 · conviction WATCH
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Why $BZAI?
Quantitative
Forward EPS estimate : $($0.17) (vs $($0.14) last yr YoY)
Market cap : $30,452,818
Convergence score : 0 (6 signals firing YoY)
Catalysts
Multi-spoke convergence : 6 convergent signals fired: earnings, finra_short, ftd, auto_macro_adp_payrolls, auto_macro_durable_goods
Risks
Position-sizing discipline : Conviction WATCH (0 score) — size accordingly; no specific catalyst-fade risk flagged
Bear case
Squeeze unwind : Short interest can compress before retail catches the move — entry timing critical
Earnings binary : Print-day moves can swing ±15% — gap risk both directions
Sympathy basket (cerebro)
APP via tech r=+0.89 sympathetic (score 19)
STEM via tech r=+0.89 sympathetic (score 19)
VSEC via industrials r=+0.72 sympathetic (score 23)
GNK via industrials r=+0.72 sympathetic (score 14)
TAP via staples r=-0.60 divergent (score 9)
CHSN via staples r=-0.60 divergent (score 5)
Signals Firing
earnings finra_short ftd auto_macro_adp_payrolls auto_macro_durable_goods auto_macro_fx_rates
Pick Track Record Date List Next-day max run Next-day close Hit +2%? 2026-11-03 sec_top_gappers +9.5% +2.4% ✓ hit 2026-11-03 sec_top_moat_emerging +9.5% +2.4% ✓ hit 2026-10-22 sec_top_gappers +7.7% -2.8% ✓ hit 2026-10-22 sec_top_moat_emerging +7.7% -2.8% ✓ hit 2026-10-21 sec_top_gappers +4.2% +2.5% ✓ hit 2026-10-21 sec_top_moat_emerging +4.2% +2.5% ✓ hit 2026-10-20 sec_top_gappers +4.1% -0.4% ✓ hit 2026-10-20 sec_top_moat_emerging +4.1% -0.4% ✓ hit 2026-10-02 sec_top_gappers -1.0% -9.2% — 2026-10-02 sec_top_moat_emerging -1.0% -9.2% —
Lifetime: 8/10 wins · hit-rate 80.0% on +2% intraday
Sympathy Basket APP via tech · score 19 STEM via tech · score 19 VSEC via industrials · score 23 GNK via industrials · score 14 TAP via staples · score 9 CHSN via staples · score 5
Earnings Catalyst No recent earnings event.
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Auto-generated from public filings + tier-1 wires. Catalyst Edge publishes its picks
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