Catalyst Edge · Scanner · Tickers · CACI
CATALYST DOSSIER · UPDATED 2026-09-18

$CACI

tech · convergence 11 · conviction WATCH
Convergence Score
11
Conviction
WATCH
Signals Firing
8
Track Record
6/16
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Why $CACI?

CACI 11 WATCH tech

Quantitative

  • Convergence score: 11 (8 signals firing YoY)

Catalysts

  • Multi-spoke convergence: 8 convergent signals fired: usa_spend, contract, auto_setup_classifier, auto_macro_13f_whales, auto_macro_eia_petroleum

Risks

  • Position-sizing discipline: Conviction WATCH (11 score) — size accordingly; no specific catalyst-fade risk flagged

Bear case

  • Multiple compression: If breadth deteriorates, tech-wide multiples re-rate lower regardless of pick-specific thesis

Sympathy basket (cerebro)

  • MRVL via semis r=+0.92 sympathetic (score 21)
  • PENG via semis r=+0.92 sympathetic (score 21)
  • RGR via industrials r=+0.90 sympathetic (score 45)
  • ACVA via industrials r=+0.90 sympathetic (score 38)
  • NFE via utilities r=+0.86 sympathetic (score 61)
  • OPTT via utilities r=+0.86 sympathetic (score 36)

Signals Firing

usa_spendcontractauto_setup_classifierauto_macro_13f_whalesauto_macro_eia_petroleumauto_macro_sec_proxy_fightauto_macro_term_premiumauto_macro_wiki_pageviews
Each tag is a spoke that flagged this ticker today. Weights tuned weekly against published outcomes.

Pick Track Record

DateListNext-day max runNext-day closeHit +2%?
2026-09-14sec_top_gappers+1.4%-0.1%—
2026-09-14sec_top_moat_emerging+1.4%-0.1%—
2026-09-09sec_top_gappers+3.8%+2.8%✓ hit
2026-09-09sec_top_moat_emerging+3.8%+2.8%✓ hit
2026-09-08sec_top_gappers+1.0%-3.0%—
2026-09-08sec_top_moat_emerging+1.0%-3.0%—
2026-09-04sec_top_gappers+0.4%+0.3%—
2026-09-04sec_top_moat_emerging+0.4%+0.3%—
2026-08-12sec_top_gappers+0.5%-1.5%—
2026-08-12sec_top_moat_emerging+0.5%-1.5%—
2026-08-10sec_top_gappers+3.4%+3.0%✓ hit
2026-08-10sec_top_moat_emerging+3.4%+3.0%✓ hit
Lifetime: 6/16 wins · hit-rate 37.5% on +2% intraday

Sympathy Basket

Tickers Catalyst Edge tracks as moving with this name. Cross-correlation derived from sector + score-cohort proximity.

Earnings Catalyst

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Auto-generated from public filings + tier-1 wires. Catalyst Edge publishes its picks and its losses — see the trust report and methodology. Not financial advice. Confirm independently before trading.

You came here for CACI. You found it after it moved, the same way everyone else did.

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Tier 1 setups touched +2% intraday 48.9% of the time across 374 tracked calls. Baseline for everything else: 40.9%. That is a +8.0 point edge, measured from the NEXT OPEN — the first price you could actually pay, not the prior close. We publish the misses too: https://catalystedgescanner.com/trust/

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