Catalyst Edge · Scanner · Tickers · CAVA
CATALYST DOSSIER · UPDATED 2026-09-24

$CAVA

consumer · convergence 1 · conviction WATCH
Convergence Score
1
Conviction
WATCH
Signals Firing
6
Track Record
4/6
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Why $CAVA?

CAVA 1 WATCH consumer

Quantitative

  • Net Income (CY2026Q2): $23.0M (+25.3% YoY)

Catalysts

  • Buyback authorization: Buyback authorization 2026-09-18

Risks

  • Position-sizing discipline: Conviction WATCH (1 score) — size accordingly; no specific catalyst-fade risk flagged

Bear case

  • Squeeze unwind: Short interest can compress before retail catches the move — entry timing critical

Sympathy basket (cerebro)

  • AEI via real_estate r=+0.96 sympathetic (score 11)
  • OPEN via real_estate r=+0.96 sympathetic (score 4)
  • IPDN via tech r=+0.94 sympathetic (score 26)
  • FNGR via tech r=+0.94 sympathetic (score 25)
  • KPTI via biotech r=+0.89 sympathetic (score 28)
  • TBPH via biotech r=+0.89 sympathetic (score 28)

Signals Firing

finra_shortbuybackauto_setup_classifierauto_macro_credit_spreadsauto_macro_ofac_sanctionsauto_macro_options_gex
Each tag is a spoke that flagged this ticker today. Weights tuned weekly against published outcomes.

Pick Track Record

DateListNext-day max runNext-day closeHit +2%?
2026-09-18sec_top_gappers+1.5%+0.7%
2026-09-18sec_top_moat_emerging+1.5%+0.7%
2026-08-12sec_top_gappers+5.6%+3.9%✓ hit
2026-08-12sec_top_moat_emerging+5.6%+3.9%✓ hit
2026-08-03sec_top_gappers+2.5%-1.6%✓ hit
2026-08-03sec_top_moat_emerging+2.5%-1.6%✓ hit
Lifetime: 4/6 wins · hit-rate 66.7% on +2% intraday

Sympathy Basket

Tickers Catalyst Edge tracks as moving with this name. Cross-correlation derived from sector + score-cohort proximity.

Earnings Catalyst

No recent earnings event.

Auto-generated from public filings + tier-1 wires. Catalyst Edge publishes its picks and its losses — see the trust report and methodology. Not financial advice. Confirm independently before trading.

You came here for CAVA. You found it after it moved, the same way everyone else did.

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Tier 1 setups touched +2% intraday 48.3% of the time across 344 tracked calls. Baseline for everything else: 40.3%. That is a +8.0 point edge, measured from the NEXT OPEN — the first price you could actually pay, not the prior close. We publish the misses too: https://catalystedgescanner.com/trust/

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