CATALYST DOSSIER · UPDATED 2026-11-05
$CCEP
staples · convergence -1 · conviction WATCH
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Why $CCEP?
Quantitative
Convergence score : -1 (5 signals firing YoY)
Catalysts
Multi-spoke convergence : 5 convergent signals fired: finra_short, fed_overlay, auto_macro_adp_payrolls, auto_macro_durable_goods, auto_macro_fx_rates
Risks
Position-sizing discipline : Conviction WATCH (-1 score) — size accordingly; no specific catalyst-fade risk flagged
Bear case
Squeeze unwind : Short interest can compress before retail catches the move — entry timing critical
Sympathy basket (cerebro)
ARIS via materials r=+0.97 sympathetic (score 26)
CF via materials r=+0.97 sympathetic (score 19)
AEI via real_estate r=+0.77 sympathetic (score 9)
OPEN via real_estate r=+0.77 sympathetic (score 5)
LMND via financials r=+0.76 sympathetic (score 27)
PURR via financials r=+0.76 sympathetic (score 24)
Signals Firing
finra_short fed_overlay auto_macro_adp_payrolls auto_macro_durable_goods auto_macro_fx_rates
Pick Track Record Date List Next-day max run Next-day close Hit +2%? 2026-11-03 sec_top_gappers +4.8% +3.8% ✓ hit 2026-11-03 sec_top_moat_emerging +4.8% +3.8% ✓ hit 2026-11-02 sec_top_gappers -1.9% -3.5% — 2026-11-02 sec_top_moat_emerging -1.9% -3.5% — 2026-10-26 sec_top_gappers -0.5% -1.2% — 2026-10-26 sec_top_moat_emerging -0.5% -1.2% — 2026-10-21 sec_top_gappers +3.9% +3.6% ✓ hit 2026-10-21 sec_top_moat_emerging +3.9% +3.6% ✓ hit 2026-10-19 sec_top_gappers +1.5% +1.4% — 2026-10-19 sec_top_moat_emerging +1.5% +1.4% — 2026-10-05 sec_top_gappers +1.8% +0.2% — 2026-10-05 sec_top_moat_emerging +1.8% +0.2% —
Lifetime: 6/20 wins · hit-rate 30.0% on +2% intraday
Sympathy Basket ARIS via materials · score 26 CF via materials · score 19 AEI via real_estate · score 9 OPEN via real_estate · score 5 LMND via financials · score 27 PURR via financials · score 24
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