What is the Catalyst Edge convergence score for CGAU?

As of 2026-11-10, CGAU has a convergence score of — with conviction tier — and 0 independent signals firing. Score is a weighted aggregate across SEC filings, insider activity, options flow, dark-pool prints, short-squeeze metrics, and macro regime.

How is CGAU's score calculated?

Each signal contributes weighted points; weights are auto-tuned weekly against published outcome history. Full methodology + audit at https://catalystedgescanner.com/methodology/ and https://catalystedgescanner.com/trust/.

How accurate has Catalyst Edge been on CGAU?

On the last 6 published picks featuring CGAU, 4 hit the +2% intraday threshold (67% hit rate). Outcomes audited daily.

Catalyst Edge · Scanner · Tickers · CGAU

CATALYST DOSSIER · UPDATED 2026-11-10

$CGAU

Unclassified · convergence — · conviction —

Convergence Score

—

Conviction

—

Signals Firing

Track Record

4/6

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Why $CGAU?

CGAU -14 AVOID materials

Quantitative

Convergence score: -14 (5 signals firing YoY)

Catalysts

Multi-spoke convergence: 5 convergent signals fired: auto_macro_adp_payrolls, auto_macro_bls_employment, auto_macro_durable_goods, auto_macro_fx_rates, auto_macro_yield_curve

Risks

Position-sizing discipline: Conviction AVOID (-14 score) — size accordingly; no specific catalyst-fade risk flagged

Bear case

Multiple compression: If breadth deteriorates, materials-wide multiples re-rate lower regardless of pick-specific thesis

Sympathy basket (cerebro)

VST via utilities r=+0.98 sympathetic (score 10)
NRG via utilities r=+0.98 sympathetic (score -1)
TILE via consumer r=+0.97 sympathetic (score 20)
ATMU via consumer r=+0.97 sympathetic (score 15)
HUM via financials r=+0.96 sympathetic (score 24)
ACRE via financials r=+0.96 sympathetic (score 18)

Signals Firing

No active signals this cycle.

Each tag is a spoke that flagged this ticker today. Weights tuned weekly against published outcomes.

Pick Track Record

Date	List	Next-day max run	Next-day close	Hit +2%?
2026-11-06	sec_top_gappers	+5.9%	+5.8%	✓ hit
2026-11-06	sec_top_moat_emerging	+5.9%	+5.8%	✓ hit
2026-10-30	sec_top_gappers	+4.0%	+1.8%	✓ hit
2026-10-30	sec_top_moat_emerging	+4.0%	+1.8%	✓ hit
2026-09-30	sec_top_gappers	+0.6%	-1.1%	—
2026-09-30	sec_top_moat_emerging	+0.6%	-1.1%	—

Lifetime: 4/6 wins · hit-rate 66.7% on +2% intraday

Earnings Catalyst

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Auto-generated from public filings + tier-1 wires. Catalyst Edge publishes its picks and its losses — see the trust report and methodology. Not financial advice. Confirm independently before trading.

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