CATALYST DOSSIER · UPDATED 2026-11-04
$CHGA
tech · convergence -10 · conviction AVOID
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Why $CHGA?
Quantitative
Net Income (CY2026Q2) : $-2.2M (+83.8% YoY)
Catalysts
Corporate action : warrant_exercise 2026-10-02
Risks
Position-sizing discipline : Conviction AVOID (-10 score) — size accordingly; no specific catalyst-fade risk flagged
Bear case
Earnings binary : Print-day moves can swing ±15% — gap risk both directions
Sympathy basket (cerebro)
ARRY via semis r=+0.99 sympathetic (score 21)
DIOD via semis r=+0.99 sympathetic (score 17)
LIVN via biotech r=+0.86 sympathetic (score 35)
CRIS via biotech r=+0.86 sympathetic (score 32)
REED via staples r=-0.80 divergent (score 15)
TAP via staples r=-0.80 divergent (score 14)
Signals Firing
earnings xbrl_ni audit_extras auto_edgar_fulltext auto_macro_adp_payrolls auto_macro_durable_goods auto_macro_fx_rates auto_macro_options_gex
Pick Track Record Date List Next-day max run Next-day close Hit +2%? 2026-10-16 sec_top_gappers -1.9% -14.6% — 2026-10-16 sec_top_moat_emerging -1.9% -14.6% — 2026-10-08 sec_top_gappers +10.4% +0.5% ✓ hit 2026-10-08 sec_top_moat_emerging +10.4% +0.5% ✓ hit 2026-10-02 sec_top_gappers -2.8% -8.8% — 2026-10-02 sec_top_moat_emerging -2.8% -8.8% — 2026-10-01 sec_top_gappers +2.8% +1.6% ✓ hit 2026-10-01 sec_top_moat_emerging +2.8% +1.6% ✓ hit 2026-09-30 sec_top_gappers +4.6% +2.9% ✓ hit 2026-09-30 sec_top_moat_emerging +4.6% +2.9% ✓ hit 2026-09-29 sec_top_gappers +84.7% +22.4% ✓ hit 2026-09-29 sec_top_moat_emerging +84.7% +22.4% ✓ hit
Lifetime: 14/18 wins · hit-rate 77.8% on +2% intraday
Sympathy Basket ARRY via semis · score 21 DIOD via semis · score 17 LIVN via biotech · score 35 CRIS via biotech · score 32 REED via staples · score 15 TAP via staples · score 14
Earnings Catalyst No recent earnings event.
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