CATALYST DOSSIER · UPDATED 2026-11-05
$CHOW
tech · convergence -3 · conviction WATCH
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Why $CHOW?
Quantitative
Convergence score : -3 (5 signals firing YoY)
Catalysts
Multi-spoke convergence : 5 convergent signals fired: finra_short, ftd, auto_macro_adp_payrolls, auto_macro_durable_goods, auto_macro_fx_rates
Risks
Position-sizing discipline : Conviction WATCH (-3 score) — size accordingly; no specific catalyst-fade risk flagged
Bear case
Squeeze unwind : Short interest can compress before retail catches the move — entry timing critical
Sympathy basket (cerebro)
DIOD via semis r=+0.89 sympathetic (score 11)
ARRY via semis r=+0.89 sympathetic (score 9)
CRIS via biotech r=+0.81 sympathetic (score 26)
LMAT via biotech r=+0.81 sympathetic (score 20)
LBTYA via comms r=+0.57 sympathetic (score 16)
CHTR via comms r=+0.57 sympathetic (score 7)
Signals Firing
finra_short ftd auto_macro_adp_payrolls auto_macro_durable_goods auto_macro_fx_rates
Pick Track Record Date List Next-day max run Next-day close Hit +2%? 2026-10-21 sec_top_gappers +21.1% -25.3% ✓ hit 2026-10-21 sec_top_moat_emerging +21.1% -25.3% ✓ hit 2026-10-20 sec_top_gappers +0.0% +0.0% — 2026-10-20 sec_top_moat_emerging +0.0% +0.0% — 2026-10-14 sec_top_gappers +12.6% +11.5% ✓ hit 2026-10-14 sec_top_moat_emerging +12.6% +11.5% ✓ hit 2026-09-16 sec_top_gappers +8.1% +7.1% ✓ hit 2026-09-16 sec_top_moat_emerging +8.1% +7.1% ✓ hit
Lifetime: 6/8 wins · hit-rate 75.0% on +2% intraday
Sympathy Basket DIOD via semis · score 11 ARRY via semis · score 9 CRIS via biotech · score 26 LMAT via biotech · score 20 LBTYA via comms · score 16 CHTR via comms · score 7
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