Catalyst Edge · Scanner · Tickers · CHRN
CATALYST DOSSIER · UPDATED 2026-09-28

$CHRN

industrials · convergence 8 · conviction WATCH
Convergence Score
8
Conviction
WATCH
Signals Firing
7
Track Record
10/10
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Why $CHRN?

CHRN 8 WATCH industrials

Quantitative

  • Forward EPS estimate: $($0.06) (vs $($1.24) last yr YoY)
  • Market cap: $3,182,178,300
  • Convergence score: 8 (7 signals firing YoY)

Catalysts

  • Multi-spoke convergence: 7 convergent signals fired: merger, earnings, auto_sec_cmgmt, auto_macro_edgar_fts, auto_macro_nasa_power

Risks

  • Position-sizing discipline: Conviction WATCH (8 score) — size accordingly; no specific catalyst-fade risk flagged

Bear case

  • Deal break risk: Antitrust/regulatory review or counterparty pullout would unwind the spread
  • Earnings binary: Print-day moves can swing ±15% — gap risk both directions

Sympathy basket (cerebro)

  • NFE via utilities r=+0.66 sympathetic (score 54)
  • OPTT via utilities r=+0.66 sympathetic (score 35)
  • VYLR via staples r=+0.57 sympathetic (score 26)
  • FAMI via staples r=+0.57 sympathetic (score 20)
  • AA via materials r=+0.54 sympathetic (score 35)
  • BKV via materials r=+0.54 sympathetic (score 29)

Signals Firing

mergerearningsauto_sec_cmgmtauto_macro_edgar_ftsauto_macro_nasa_powerauto_macro_ofac_sanctionsauto_macro_yield_curve
Each tag is a spoke that flagged this ticker today. Weights tuned weekly against published outcomes.

Recent SEC Filings

Pick Track Record

DateListNext-day max runNext-day closeHit +2%?
2026-09-17sec_top_gappers+2.8%+1.4%✓ hit
2026-09-17sec_top_moat_emerging+2.8%+1.4%✓ hit
2026-09-16sec_top_gappers+9.3%+7.9%✓ hit
2026-09-16sec_top_moat_emerging+9.3%+7.9%✓ hit
2026-08-27sec_top_gappers+7.2%-9.6%✓ hit
2026-08-27sec_top_moat_emerging+7.2%-9.6%✓ hit
2026-08-21sec_top_gappers+4.8%-5.3%✓ hit
2026-08-21sec_top_moat_emerging+4.8%-5.3%✓ hit
2026-08-20sec_top_gappers+3.3%-1.1%✓ hit
2026-08-20sec_top_moat_emerging+3.3%-1.1%✓ hit
Lifetime: 10/10 wins · hit-rate 100.0% on +2% intraday

Sympathy Basket

Tickers Catalyst Edge tracks as moving with this name. Cross-correlation derived from sector + score-cohort proximity.

Earnings Catalyst

No recent earnings event.

Auto-generated from public filings + tier-1 wires. Catalyst Edge publishes its picks and its losses — see the trust report and methodology. Not financial advice. Confirm independently before trading.

You came here for CHRN. You found it after it moved, the same way everyone else did.

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Tier 1 setups touched +2% intraday 48.1% of the time across 343 tracked calls. Baseline for everything else: 40.2%. That is a +7.9 point edge, measured from the NEXT OPEN — the first price you could actually pay, not the prior close. We publish the misses too: https://catalystedgescanner.com/trust/

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