CATALYST DOSSIER · UPDATED 2026-11-05
$CIMG
consumer · convergence -8 · conviction WATCH
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Why $CIMG?
Quantitative
Net Income (CY2026Q2) : $-10.5M (-881.2% YoY)
Catalysts
Multi-spoke convergence : 5 convergent signals fired: ftd, auto_lockup_calendar, auto_macro_adp_payrolls, auto_macro_durable_goods, auto_macro_fx_rates
Risks
Position-sizing discipline : Conviction WATCH (-8 score) — size accordingly; no specific catalyst-fade risk flagged
Bear case
Multiple compression : If breadth deteriorates, consumer-wide multiples re-rate lower regardless of pick-specific thesis
Sympathy basket (cerebro)
VCTR via financials r=+0.97 sympathetic (score 19)
FCPT via financials r=+0.97 sympathetic (score 15)
CVI via energy r=-0.89 divergent (score 12)
DK via energy r=-0.89 divergent (score 3)
AEI via real_estate r=+0.84 sympathetic (score 1)
OPEN via real_estate r=+0.84 sympathetic (score 1)
Signals Firing
ftd auto_lockup_calendar auto_macro_adp_payrolls auto_macro_durable_goods auto_macro_fx_rates
Pick Track Record Date List Next-day max run Next-day close Hit +2%? 2026-09-30 sec_clean_gappers +0.0% -50.0% — 2026-09-30 sec_top_gappers +0.0% -50.0% — 2026-09-30 sec_top_moat_emerging +0.0% -50.0% — 2026-09-22 sec_top_gappers +50.0% +0.0% ✓ hit 2026-09-22 sec_top_moat_emerging +50.0% +0.0% ✓ hit 2026-09-21 sec_top_gappers +50.0% +0.0% ✓ hit 2026-09-21 sec_top_moat_emerging +50.0% +0.0% ✓ hit 2026-09-18 sec_top_gappers +50.0% +0.0% ✓ hit 2026-09-18 sec_top_moat_emerging +50.0% +0.0% ✓ hit 2026-09-17 sec_top_gappers +0.0% -33.3% — 2026-09-17 sec_top_moat_emerging +0.0% -33.3% — 2026-09-08 sec_clean_gappers +0.0% +0.0% —
Lifetime: 6/14 wins · hit-rate 42.9% on +2% intraday
Sympathy Basket VCTR via financials · score 19 FCPT via financials · score 15 CVI via energy · score 12 DK via energy · score 3 AEI via real_estate · score 1 OPEN via real_estate · score 1
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