CATALYST DOSSIER · UPDATED 2026-11-06
$CLOV
financials · convergence -11 · conviction AVOID
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Why $CLOV?
Quantitative
Revenue (CY2026Q2) : $743.2M (+55.6% YoY)
Net Income (CY2026Q2) : $28.0M (+364.7% YoY)
Catalysts
Multi-spoke convergence : 8 convergent signals fired: xbrl_ni, fed_overlay, sector_overlay, auto_macro_adp_payrolls, auto_macro_bls_employment
Risks
Position-sizing discipline : Conviction AVOID (-11 score) — size accordingly; no specific catalyst-fade risk flagged
Bear case
Multiple compression : If breadth deteriorates, financials-wide multiples re-rate lower regardless of pick-specific thesis
Sympathy basket (cerebro)
TILE via consumer r=+0.99 sympathetic (score 20)
ATMU via consumer r=+0.99 sympathetic (score 15)
AEI via real_estate r=+0.97 sympathetic (score -1)
OMH via real_estate r=+0.97 sympathetic (score -7)
AMR via materials r=+0.96 sympathetic (score 27)
SLVM via materials r=+0.96 sympathetic (score 14)
Signals Firing
xbrl_ni fed_overlay sector_overlay auto_macro_adp_payrolls auto_macro_bls_employment auto_macro_durable_goods auto_macro_fx_rates auto_macro_yield_curve
Pick Track Record Date List Next-day max run Next-day close Hit +2%? 2026-10-09 sec_top_gappers +1.5% -0.2% — 2026-10-09 sec_top_moat_emerging +1.5% -0.2% — 2026-09-28 sec_top_gappers +0.5% -0.1% — 2026-09-28 sec_top_moat_emerging +0.5% -0.1% —
Lifetime: 0/4 wins · hit-rate 0.0% on +2% intraday
Sympathy Basket TILE via consumer · score 20 ATMU via consumer · score 15 AEI via real_estate · score -1 OMH via real_estate · score -7 AMR via materials · score 27 SLVM via materials · score 14
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