What is the Catalyst Edge convergence score for COTY?

As of 2026-10-02, COTY has a convergence score of — with conviction tier — and 0 independent signals firing. Score is a weighted aggregate across SEC filings, insider activity, options flow, dark-pool prints, short-squeeze metrics, and macro regime.

How is COTY's score calculated?

Each signal contributes weighted points; weights are auto-tuned weekly against published outcome history. Full methodology + audit at https://catalystedgescanner.com/methodology/ and https://catalystedgescanner.com/trust/.

How accurate has Catalyst Edge been on COTY?

On the last 17 published picks featuring COTY, 7 hit the +2% intraday threshold (41% hit rate). Outcomes audited daily.

Catalyst Edge · Scanner · Tickers · COTY

CATALYST DOSSIER · UPDATED 2026-10-02

$COTY

Unclassified · convergence — · conviction —

Convergence Score

—

Conviction

—

Signals Firing

Track Record

7/17

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Why $COTY?

COTY 8 WATCH materials

Quantitative

Convergence score: 8 (9 signals firing YoY)

Catalysts

Multi-spoke convergence: 9 convergent signals fired: merger, finra_short, oge_exec, edgar_phrases, auto_sec_cmgmt

Risks

Position-sizing discipline: Conviction WATCH (8 score) — size accordingly; no specific catalyst-fade risk flagged

Bear case

Squeeze unwind: Short interest can compress before retail catches the move — entry timing critical
Deal break risk: Antitrust/regulatory review or counterparty pullout would unwind the spread

Sympathy basket (cerebro)

FAMI via staples r=+0.88 sympathetic (score 17)
VYLR via staples r=+0.88 sympathetic (score 14)
IEP via energy r=-0.81 divergent (score 3)
TSOL via energy r=-0.81 divergent (score -2)
TTMI via semis r=+0.72 sympathetic (score 12)
MU via semis r=+0.72 sympathetic (score 9)

Signals Firing

No active signals this cycle.

Each tag is a spoke that flagged this ticker today. Weights tuned weekly against published outcomes.

Pick Track Record

Date	List	Next-day max run	Next-day close	Hit +2%?
2026-09-28	sec_top_gappers	+0.7%	+0.4%	—
2026-09-28	sec_top_moat_emerging	+0.7%	+0.4%	—
2026-09-11	sec_clean_gappers	+2.2%	+0.7%	✓ hit
2026-09-11	sec_top_gappers	+2.2%	+0.7%	✓ hit
2026-09-11	sec_top_moat_emerging	+2.2%	+0.7%	✓ hit
2026-08-27	sec_top_gappers	+4.3%	+3.3%	✓ hit
2026-08-27	sec_top_moat_emerging	+4.3%	+3.3%	✓ hit
2026-08-24	sec_top_gappers	+0.0%	-4.3%	—
2026-08-24	sec_top_moat_emerging	+0.0%	-4.3%	—
2026-08-21	sec_top_gappers	+3.3%	+1.8%	✓ hit
2026-08-21	sec_top_moat_emerging	+3.3%	+1.8%	✓ hit
2026-08-20	sec_clean_gappers	+0.4%	-0.4%	—

Lifetime: 7/17 wins · hit-rate 41.2% on +2% intraday

Earnings Catalyst

No recent earnings event.

Auto-generated from public filings + tier-1 wires. Catalyst Edge publishes its picks and its losses — see the trust report and methodology. Not financial advice. Confirm independently before trading.

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Tier 1 setups touched +2% intraday 48.9% of the time across 372 tracked calls. Baseline for everything else: 39.8%. That is a +9.1 point edge, measured from the NEXT OPEN — the first price you could actually pay, not the prior close. We publish the misses too: https://catalystedgescanner.com/trust/

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