CATALYST DOSSIER · UPDATED 2026-11-13
$CRL
industrials · convergence -2 · conviction WATCH
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Why $CRL?
Quantitative
Net Income (CY2026Q2) : $-1.5M (-102.8% YoY)
Catalysts
Multi-spoke convergence : 8 convergent signals fired: sc13d, oge_exec, audit_extras, auto_macro_adp_payrolls, auto_macro_banrep_colombia
Risks
Position-sizing discipline : Conviction WATCH (-2 score) — size accordingly; no specific catalyst-fade risk flagged
Bear case
Multiple compression : If breadth deteriorates, industrials-wide multiples re-rate lower regardless of pick-specific thesis
Sympathy basket (cerebro)
CRML via materials r=+0.97 sympathetic (score 19)
PCT via materials r=+0.97 sympathetic (score 18)
SKYD via comms r=+0.96 sympathetic (score 19)
BBGI via comms r=+0.96 sympathetic (score 11)
AEI via real_estate r=+0.94 sympathetic (score 12)
AGNT via real_estate r=+0.94 sympathetic (score 5)
Signals Firing
sc13d oge_exec audit_extras auto_macro_adp_payrolls auto_macro_banrep_colombia auto_macro_bls_employment auto_macro_durable_goods auto_macro_wiki_pageviews
Pick Track Record Date List Next-day max run Next-day close Hit +2%? 2026-11-04 sec_top_gappers +1.4% -4.1% — 2026-11-04 sec_top_moat_emerging +1.4% -4.1% — 2026-09-24 sec_top_gappers +0.3% -0.5% — 2026-09-24 sec_top_moat_emerging +0.3% -0.5% —
Lifetime: 0/4 wins · hit-rate 0.0% on +2% intraday
Sympathy Basket CRML via materials · score 19 PCT via materials · score 18 SKYD via comms · score 19 BBGI via comms · score 11 AEI via real_estate · score 12 AGNT via real_estate · score 5
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