Catalyst Edge · Scanner · Tickers · CSTL
CATALYST DOSSIER · UPDATED 2026-10-02

$CSTL

biotech · convergence -27 · conviction AVOID
Convergence Score
-27
Conviction
AVOID
Signals Firing
4
Track Record
6/8
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Why $CSTL?

CSTL -27 AVOID biotech

Quantitative

  • Net Income (CY2026Q2): $-2.1M (-145.5% YoY)

Catalysts

  • Multi-spoke convergence: 4 convergent signals fired: auto_macro_credit_spreads, auto_macro_edgar_fts, auto_macro_term_premium, auto_macro_treasury_fiscal

Risks

  • Position-sizing discipline: Conviction AVOID (-27 score) — size accordingly; no specific catalyst-fade risk flagged

Bear case

  • Multiple compression: If breadth deteriorates, biotech-wide multiples re-rate lower regardless of pick-specific thesis

Sympathy basket (cerebro)

  • VOYG via industrials r=-0.85 divergent (score 18)
  • SEI via industrials r=-0.85 divergent (score 14)
  • MOBX via semis r=-0.78 divergent (score 2)
  • PENG via semis r=-0.78 divergent (score 2)
  • SMA via financials r=-0.78 divergent (score 24)
  • CBOE via financials r=-0.78 divergent (score 18)

Signals Firing

auto_macro_credit_spreadsauto_macro_edgar_ftsauto_macro_term_premiumauto_macro_treasury_fiscal
Each tag is a spoke that flagged this ticker today. Weights tuned weekly against published outcomes.

Pick Track Record

DateListNext-day max runNext-day closeHit +2%?
2026-09-15sec_top_gappers+3.7%-0.1%✓ hit
2026-09-15sec_top_moat_emerging+3.7%-0.1%✓ hit
2026-08-18sec_top_gappers+11.6%+11.3%✓ hit
2026-08-18sec_top_moat_emerging+11.6%+11.3%✓ hit
2026-08-17sec_top_gappers+0.6%-3.1%—
2026-08-17sec_top_moat_emerging+0.6%-3.1%—
2026-08-14sec_top_gappers+3.0%+1.1%✓ hit
2026-08-14sec_top_moat_emerging+3.0%+1.1%✓ hit
Lifetime: 6/8 wins · hit-rate 75.0% on +2% intraday

Sympathy Basket

Tickers Catalyst Edge tracks as moving with this name. Cross-correlation derived from sector + score-cohort proximity.

Earnings Catalyst

No recent earnings event.

Auto-generated from public filings + tier-1 wires. Catalyst Edge publishes its picks and its losses — see the trust report and methodology. Not financial advice. Confirm independently before trading.

You came here for CSTL. You found it after it moved, the same way everyone else did.

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Tier 1 setups touched +2% intraday 48.9% of the time across 372 tracked calls. Baseline for everything else: 39.8%. That is a +9.1 point edge, measured from the NEXT OPEN — the first price you could actually pay, not the prior close. We publish the misses too: https://catalystedgescanner.com/trust/

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