CATALYST DOSSIER · UPDATED 2026-11-06
$CUBE
financials · convergence -19 · conviction AVOID
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Why $CUBE?
Quantitative
Convergence score : -19 (9 signals firing YoY)
Catalysts
Multi-spoke convergence : 9 convergent signals fired: finra_short, fed_overlay, sector_overlay, auto_edgar_fulltext, auto_macro_adp_payrolls
Risks
Position-sizing discipline : Conviction AVOID (-19 score) — size accordingly; no specific catalyst-fade risk flagged
Bear case
Squeeze unwind : Short interest can compress before retail catches the move — entry timing critical
Sympathy basket (cerebro)
TILE via consumer r=+0.99 sympathetic (score 20)
ATMU via consumer r=+0.99 sympathetic (score 15)
AEI via real_estate r=+0.97 sympathetic (score -1)
OMH via real_estate r=+0.97 sympathetic (score -7)
AMR via materials r=+0.96 sympathetic (score 27)
SLVM via materials r=+0.96 sympathetic (score 14)
Signals Firing
finra_short fed_overlay sector_overlay auto_edgar_fulltext auto_macro_adp_payrolls auto_macro_bls_employment auto_macro_durable_goods auto_macro_fx_rates auto_macro_yield_curve
Pick Track Record Date List Next-day max run Next-day close Hit +2%? 2026-11-02 sec_top_gappers +0.0% -0.0% — 2026-11-02 sec_top_moat_emerging +0.0% -0.0% — 2026-10-30 sec_top_gappers +4.2% +3.6% ✓ hit 2026-10-30 sec_top_moat_emerging +4.2% +3.6% ✓ hit
Lifetime: 2/4 wins · hit-rate 50.0% on +2% intraday
Sympathy Basket TILE via consumer · score 20 ATMU via consumer · score 15 AEI via real_estate · score -1 OMH via real_estate · score -7 AMR via materials · score 27 SLVM via materials · score 14
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