CATALYST DOSSIER · UPDATED 2026-11-12
$CVAT
staples · convergence -12 · conviction AVOID
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Why $CVAT?
Quantitative
Convergence score : -12 (8 signals firing YoY)
Catalysts
Multi-spoke convergence : 8 convergent signals fired: contract, tender, biotech, fed_overlay, auto_macro_adp_payrolls
Risks
Position-sizing discipline : Conviction AVOID (-12 score) — size accordingly; no specific catalyst-fade risk flagged
Bear case
Multiple compression : If breadth deteriorates, staples-wide multiples re-rate lower regardless of pick-specific thesis
Sympathy basket (cerebro)
TRMK via financials r=+0.91 sympathetic (score 23)
FCPT via financials r=+0.91 sympathetic (score 15)
OPEN via real_estate r=+0.82 sympathetic (score 0)
AEI via real_estate r=+0.82 sympathetic (score -2)
DPC via materials r=+0.80 sympathetic (score 14)
LAC via materials r=+0.80 sympathetic (score 12)
Signals Firing
contract tender biotech fed_overlay auto_macro_adp_payrolls auto_macro_banrep_colombia auto_macro_bls_employment auto_macro_durable_goods
Pick Track Record Date List Next-day max run Next-day close Hit +2%? 2026-11-05 sec_top_gappers +0.0% +0.0% — 2026-11-05 sec_top_moat_emerging +0.0% +0.0% — 2026-11-04 sec_top_gappers +0.0% +0.0% — 2026-11-04 sec_top_moat_emerging +0.0% +0.0% — 2026-10-27 sec_top_gappers +0.0% +0.0% — 2026-10-27 sec_top_moat_emerging +0.0% +0.0% — 2026-10-23 sec_top_gappers +0.0% +0.0% — 2026-10-23 sec_top_moat_emerging +0.0% +0.0% — 2026-10-22 sec_top_gappers +0.0% -25.0% — 2026-10-22 sec_top_moat_emerging +0.0% -25.0% — 2026-10-13 sec_top_gappers +0.0% +0.0% — 2026-10-13 sec_top_moat_emerging +0.0% +0.0% —
Lifetime: 0/18 wins · hit-rate 0.0% on +2% intraday
Sympathy Basket TRMK via financials · score 23 FCPT via financials · score 15 OPEN via real_estate · score 0 AEI via real_estate · score -2 DPC via materials · score 14 LAC via materials · score 12
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Auto-generated from public filings + tier-1 wires. Catalyst Edge publishes its picks
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