CATALYST DOSSIER · UPDATED 2026-11-09
$DEFT
financials · convergence 3 · conviction WATCH
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Why $DEFT?
Quantitative
Forward EPS estimate : $$0 (vs $$0.01 last yr YoY)
Market cap : $132,890,160
Convergence score : 3 (11 signals firing YoY)
Catalysts
Multi-spoke convergence : 11 convergent signals fired: earnings, finra_short, fed_overlay, sector_overlay, auto_macro_adp_payrolls
Risks
Position-sizing discipline : Conviction WATCH (3 score) — size accordingly; no specific catalyst-fade risk flagged
Bear case
Squeeze unwind : Short interest can compress before retail catches the move — entry timing critical
Earnings binary : Print-day moves can swing ±15% — gap risk both directions
Sympathy basket (cerebro)
SBH via consumer r=+0.99 sympathetic (score 38)
TH via consumer r=+0.99 sympathetic (score 28)
AEI via real_estate r=+0.97 sympathetic (score 12)
AIRE via real_estate r=+0.97 sympathetic (score 3)
CVE via materials r=+0.97 sympathetic (score 26)
WTTR via materials r=+0.97 sympathetic (score 19)
Signals Firing
earnings finra_short fed_overlay sector_overlay auto_macro_adp_payrolls auto_macro_banrep_colombia auto_macro_bls_employment auto_macro_durable_goods auto_macro_fx_rates auto_macro_options_gex auto_macro_yield_curve
Pick Track Record Date List Next-day max run Next-day close Hit +2%? 2026-10-01 sec_top_gappers +6.1% +4.1% ✓ hit 2026-10-01 sec_top_moat_emerging +6.1% +4.1% ✓ hit 2026-09-29 sec_top_gappers +4.1% +1.0% ✓ hit 2026-09-29 sec_top_moat_emerging +4.1% +1.0% ✓ hit
Lifetime: 4/4 wins · hit-rate 100.0% on +2% intraday
Sympathy Basket SBH via consumer · score 38 TH via consumer · score 28 AEI via real_estate · score 12 AIRE via real_estate · score 3 CVE via materials · score 26 WTTR via materials · score 19
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