Catalyst Edge · Scanner · Tickers · DOW
CATALYST DOSSIER · UPDATED 2026-09-24

$DOW

Unclassified · convergence · conviction
Convergence Score
Conviction
Signals Firing
0
Track Record
4/6
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Why $DOW?

DOW -5 WATCH materials

Quantitative

  • Convergence score: -5 (9 signals firing YoY)

Catalysts

  • Multi-spoke convergence: 9 convergent signals fired: finra_short, finra_regsho, oge_exec, auto_macro_credit_spreads, auto_macro_crypto_fear_greed

Risks

  • Hard-to-borrow / FTD risk: Borrow rate 6.0%, distress score 30

Bear case

  • Squeeze unwind: Short interest can compress before retail catches the move — entry timing critical

Sympathy basket (cerebro)

  • PDM via real_estate r=+0.81 sympathetic (score 17)
  • OPEN via real_estate r=+0.81 sympathetic (score 13)
  • DINO via energy r=+0.59 sympathetic (score 8)
  • YPF via energy r=+0.59 sympathetic (score 3)
  • MG via industrials r=-0.57 divergent (score 39)
  • MELI via industrials r=-0.57 divergent (score 28)

Signals Firing

No active signals this cycle.
Each tag is a spoke that flagged this ticker today. Weights tuned weekly against published outcomes.

Pick Track Record

DateListNext-day max runNext-day closeHit +2%?
2026-08-04sec_top_gappers+1.2%-2.2%
2026-08-04sec_top_moat_emerging+1.2%-2.2%
2026-07-28sec_top_gappers+6.2%+5.5%✓ hit
2026-07-28sec_top_moat_emerging+6.2%+5.5%✓ hit
2026-07-27sec_top_gappers+2.6%+0.3%✓ hit
2026-07-27sec_top_moat_emerging+2.6%+0.3%✓ hit
Lifetime: 4/6 wins · hit-rate 66.7% on +2% intraday

Earnings Catalyst

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Auto-generated from public filings + tier-1 wires. Catalyst Edge publishes its picks and its losses — see the trust report and methodology. Not financial advice. Confirm independently before trading.

You came here for DOW. You found it after it moved, the same way everyone else did.

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Tier 1 setups touched +2% intraday 48.3% of the time across 344 tracked calls. Baseline for everything else: 40.4%. That is a +7.9 point edge, measured from the NEXT OPEN — the first price you could actually pay, not the prior close. We publish the misses too: https://catalystedgescanner.com/trust/

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