What is the Catalyst Edge convergence score for DOW?

As of 2026-11-06, DOW has a convergence score of -18 with conviction tier AVOID and 9 independent signals firing. Score is a weighted aggregate across SEC filings, insider activity, options flow, dark-pool prints, short-squeeze metrics, and macro regime.

How is DOW's score calculated?

Each signal contributes weighted points; weights are auto-tuned weekly against published outcome history. Full methodology + audit at https://catalystedgescanner.com/methodology/ and https://catalystedgescanner.com/trust/.

How accurate has Catalyst Edge been on DOW?

On the last 6 published picks featuring DOW, 4 hit the +2% intraday threshold (67% hit rate). Outcomes audited daily.

Catalyst Edge · Scanner · Tickers · DOW

CATALYST DOSSIER · UPDATED 2026-11-06

$DOW

materials · convergence -18 · conviction AVOID

Convergence Score

-18

Conviction

AVOID

Signals Firing

Track Record

4/6

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Why $DOW?

DOW -18 AVOID materials

Quantitative

Net Margin (CY2026Q3): 4.1%

Catalysts

Multi-spoke convergence: 9 convergent signals fired: reddit, finra_short, oge_exec, audit_extras, auto_macro_adp_payrolls

Risks

Hard-to-borrow / FTD risk: Borrow rate 6.0%, distress score 30

Bear case

Squeeze unwind: Short interest can compress before retail catches the move — entry timing critical

Sympathy basket (cerebro)

VST via utilities r=+0.98 sympathetic (score 10)
NRG via utilities r=+0.98 sympathetic (score -1)
TILE via consumer r=+0.97 sympathetic (score 20)
ATMU via consumer r=+0.97 sympathetic (score 15)
HUM via financials r=+0.96 sympathetic (score 24)
ACRE via financials r=+0.96 sympathetic (score 18)

Signals Firing

redditfinra_shortoge_execaudit_extrasauto_macro_adp_payrollsauto_macro_bls_employmentauto_macro_durable_goodsauto_macro_fx_ratesauto_macro_yield_curve

Each tag is a spoke that flagged this ticker today. Weights tuned weekly against published outcomes.

Pick Track Record

Date	List	Next-day max run	Next-day close	Hit +2%?
2026-10-29	sec_top_gappers	+3.7%	+3.2%	✓ hit
2026-10-29	sec_top_moat_emerging	+3.7%	+3.2%	✓ hit
2026-10-26	sec_top_gappers	+0.5%	-0.6%	—
2026-10-26	sec_top_moat_emerging	+0.5%	-0.6%	—
2026-10-23	sec_top_gappers	+5.4%	+4.2%	✓ hit
2026-10-23	sec_top_moat_emerging	+5.4%	+4.2%	✓ hit

Lifetime: 4/6 wins · hit-rate 66.7% on +2% intraday

Sympathy Basket

VSTvia utilities · score 10
NRGvia utilities · score -1
TILEvia consumer · score 20
ATMUvia consumer · score 15
HUMvia financials · score 24
ACREvia financials · score 18

Tickers Catalyst Edge tracks as moving with this name. Cross-correlation derived from sector + score-cohort proximity.

Earnings Catalyst

No recent earnings event.

Auto-generated from public filings + tier-1 wires. Catalyst Edge publishes its picks and its losses — see the trust report and methodology. Not financial advice. Confirm independently before trading.

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