CATALYST DOSSIER · UPDATED 2026-11-06
$DXST
utilities · convergence -3 · conviction WATCH
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Why $DXST?
Quantitative
Convergence score : -3 (5 signals firing YoY)
Catalysts
Multi-spoke convergence : 5 convergent signals fired: fed_overlay, auto_macro_adp_payrolls, auto_macro_durable_goods, auto_macro_fx_rates, auto_macro_yield_curve
Risks
Position-sizing discipline : Conviction WATCH (-3 score) — size accordingly; no specific catalyst-fade risk flagged
Bear case
Multiple compression : If breadth deteriorates, utilities-wide multiples re-rate lower regardless of pick-specific thesis
Sympathy basket (cerebro)
AMTX via materials r=+0.90 sympathetic (score 20)
AYA via materials r=+0.90 sympathetic (score 15)
TAP via staples r=+0.84 sympathetic (score 12)
DOLE via staples r=+0.84 sympathetic (score 7)
WEN via consumer r=+0.70 sympathetic (score 17)
PLBY via consumer r=+0.70 sympathetic (score 16)
Signals Firing
fed_overlay auto_macro_adp_payrolls auto_macro_durable_goods auto_macro_fx_rates auto_macro_yield_curve
Pick Track Record Date List Next-day max run Next-day close Hit +2%? 2026-10-27 sec_top_gappers +4.4% +0.0% ✓ hit 2026-10-27 sec_top_moat_emerging +4.4% +0.0% ✓ hit 2026-10-26 sec_top_gappers +0.0% -3.4% — 2026-10-26 sec_top_moat_emerging +0.0% -3.4% — 2026-10-20 sec_top_gappers +6.6% -2.5% ✓ hit 2026-10-20 sec_top_moat_emerging +6.6% -2.5% ✓ hit 2026-10-16 sec_top_gappers +3.8% +0.0% ✓ hit 2026-10-16 sec_top_moat_emerging +3.8% +0.0% ✓ hit 2026-10-15 sec_top_gappers +0.0% -20.8% — 2026-10-15 sec_top_moat_emerging +0.0% -20.8% — 2026-10-06 sec_top_gappers +2.5% -1.5% ✓ hit 2026-10-06 sec_top_moat_emerging +2.5% -1.5% ✓ hit
Lifetime: 10/20 wins · hit-rate 50.0% on +2% intraday
Sympathy Basket AMTX via materials · score 20 AYA via materials · score 15 TAP via staples · score 12 DOLE via staples · score 7 WEN via consumer · score 17 PLBY via consumer · score 16
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Auto-generated from public filings + tier-1 wires. Catalyst Edge publishes its picks
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