Catalyst Edge · Scanner · Tickers · EFC
CATALYST DOSSIER · UPDATED 2026-09-14

$EFC

Unclassified · convergence · conviction
Convergence Score
Conviction
Signals Firing
0
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Why $EFC?

EFC -15 AVOID real_estate

Quantitative

  • Forward EPS estimate: $$0.46 (vs $$0.47 last yr YoY)
  • Market cap: $1,667,735,199
  • Convergence score: -15 (8 signals firing YoY)

Catalysts

  • Multi-spoke convergence: 8 convergent signals fired: earnings, finra_short, sc13d, audit_extras, auto_earnings_calendar

Risks

  • Position-sizing discipline: Conviction AVOID (-15 score) — size accordingly; no specific catalyst-fade risk flagged

Bear case

  • Squeeze unwind: Short interest can compress before retail catches the move — entry timing critical
  • Earnings binary: Print-day moves can swing ±15% — gap risk both directions

Sympathy basket (cerebro)

  • STKH via staples r=+0.90 sympathetic (score -5)
  • YHC via staples r=+0.90 sympathetic (score -7)
  • GEL via energy r=-0.72 divergent (score 9)
  • YPF via energy r=-0.72 divergent (score -21)
  • GSAT via comms r=+0.70 sympathetic (score 8)
  • TDAY via comms r=+0.70 sympathetic (score 1)

Signals Firing

No active signals this cycle.
Each tag is a spoke that flagged this ticker today. Weights tuned weekly against published outcomes.

Earnings Catalyst

No recent earnings event.

Auto-generated from public filings + tier-1 wires. Catalyst Edge publishes its picks and its losses — see the trust report and methodology. Not financial advice. Confirm independently before trading.

You came here for EFC. You found it after it moved, the same way everyone else did.

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Tier 1 setups touched +2% intraday 50.3% of the time across 334 tracked calls. Baseline for everything else: 41.0%. That is a +9.3 point edge, measured from the NEXT OPEN — the first price you could actually pay, not the prior close. We publish the misses too: https://catalystedgescanner.com/trust/

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