What is the Catalyst Edge convergence score for EL?

As of 2026-10-08, EL has a convergence score of — with conviction tier — and 0 independent signals firing. Score is a weighted aggregate across SEC filings, insider activity, options flow, dark-pool prints, short-squeeze metrics, and macro regime.

How is EL's score calculated?

Each signal contributes weighted points; weights are auto-tuned weekly against published outcome history. Full methodology + audit at https://catalystedgescanner.com/methodology/ and https://catalystedgescanner.com/trust/.

How accurate has Catalyst Edge been on EL?

On the last 15 published picks featuring EL, 10 hit the +2% intraday threshold (67% hit rate). Outcomes audited daily.

Catalyst Edge · Scanner · Tickers · EL

CATALYST DOSSIER · UPDATED 2026-10-08

$EL

Unclassified · convergence — · conviction —

Convergence Score

—

Conviction

—

Signals Firing

Track Record

10/15

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Why $EL?

EL -2 WATCH materials

Quantitative

Convergence score: -2 (8 signals firing YoY)

Catalysts

Multi-spoke convergence: 8 convergent signals fired: merger, finra_short, auto_sec_audit, auto_sec_cmgmt, auto_sec_geopol

Risks

Auditor change / restatement: valuation_allowance on

Bear case

Squeeze unwind: Short interest can compress before retail catches the move — entry timing critical
Deal break risk: Antitrust/regulatory review or counterparty pullout would unwind the spread

Sympathy basket (cerebro)

REZI via consumer r=+0.78 sympathetic (score 8)
TRUG via consumer r=+0.78 sympathetic (score 5)
AEI via real_estate r=+0.77 sympathetic (score -3)
LRHC via real_estate r=+0.77 sympathetic (score -5)
SSM via semis r=+0.67 sympathetic (score 7)
SYNA via semis r=+0.67 sympathetic (score -5)

Signals Firing

No active signals this cycle.

Each tag is a spoke that flagged this ticker today. Weights tuned weekly against published outcomes.

Pick Track Record

Date	List	Next-day max run	Next-day close	Hit +2%?
2026-10-02	sec_top_gappers	+3.1%	+1.4%	✓ hit
2026-10-02	sec_top_moat_emerging	+3.1%	+1.4%	✓ hit
2026-10-01	sec_top_gappers	+2.8%	+2.0%	✓ hit
2026-10-01	sec_top_moat_emerging	+2.8%	+2.0%	✓ hit
2026-09-30	sec_top_gappers	-0.1%	-2.8%	—
2026-09-30	sec_top_moat_emerging	-0.1%	-2.8%	—
2026-09-16	sec_top_gappers	+2.8%	-1.8%	✓ hit
2026-09-16	sec_top_moat_emerging	+2.8%	-1.8%	✓ hit
2026-09-08	sec_clean_gappers	-0.8%	-2.9%	—
2026-09-08	sec_top_gappers	-0.8%	-2.9%	—
2026-09-08	sec_top_moat_emerging	-0.8%	-2.9%	—
2026-08-21	sec_top_gappers	+2.2%	+2.1%	✓ hit

Lifetime: 10/15 wins · hit-rate 66.7% on +2% intraday

Earnings Catalyst

No recent earnings event.

Auto-generated from public filings + tier-1 wires. Catalyst Edge publishes its picks and its losses — see the trust report and methodology. Not financial advice. Confirm independently before trading.

You came here for EL. You found it after it moved, the same way everyone else did.

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Tier 1 setups touched +2% intraday 47.3% of the time across 438 tracked calls. Baseline for everything else: 39.7%. That is a +7.6 point edge, measured from the NEXT OPEN — the first price you could actually pay, not the prior close. We publish the misses too: https://catalystedgescanner.com/trust/

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