What is the Catalyst Edge convergence score for ESOA?

As of 2026-10-06, ESOA has a convergence score of — with conviction tier — and 0 independent signals firing. Score is a weighted aggregate across SEC filings, insider activity, options flow, dark-pool prints, short-squeeze metrics, and macro regime.

How is ESOA's score calculated?

Each signal contributes weighted points; weights are auto-tuned weekly against published outcome history. Full methodology + audit at https://catalystedgescanner.com/methodology/ and https://catalystedgescanner.com/trust/.

How accurate has Catalyst Edge been on ESOA?

On the last 8 published picks featuring ESOA, 3 hit the +2% intraday threshold (38% hit rate). Outcomes audited daily.

Catalyst Edge · Scanner · Tickers · ESOA

CATALYST DOSSIER · UPDATED 2026-10-06

$ESOA

Unclassified · convergence — · conviction —

Convergence Score

—

Conviction

—

Signals Firing

Track Record

3/8

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Why $ESOA?

ESOA -20 AVOID industrials

Quantitative

Convergence score: -20 (3 signals firing YoY)

Catalysts

Multi-spoke convergence: 3 convergent signals fired: deepvalue, auto_macro_term_premium, auto_macro_treasury_fiscal

Risks

Hard-to-borrow / FTD risk: Borrow rate 1.0%, distress score 8

Bear case

Value-trap risk: DeepValue score 8 suggests cheap multiples — bear case if catalyst doesn't materialize

Sympathy basket (cerebro)

NTST via financials r=+0.99 sympathetic (score 19)
SUI via financials r=+0.99 sympathetic (score 12)
SSM via semis r=+0.83 sympathetic (score 7)
SYNA via semis r=+0.83 sympathetic (score -5)
KPTI via biotech r=-0.81 divergent (score 15)
CHRS via biotech r=-0.81 divergent (score 8)

Signals Firing

No active signals this cycle.

Each tag is a spoke that flagged this ticker today. Weights tuned weekly against published outcomes.

Pick Track Record

Date	List	Next-day max run	Next-day close	Hit +2%?
2026-09-18	sec_top_gappers	+1.7%	+0.6%	—
2026-09-18	sec_top_moat_emerging	+1.7%	+0.6%	—
2026-09-17	sec_clean_gappers	+0.9%	-1.0%	—
2026-09-17	sec_top_gappers	+0.9%	-1.0%	—
2026-09-17	sec_top_moat_emerging	+0.9%	-1.0%	—
2026-08-26	sec_clean_gappers	+2.2%	+1.7%	✓ hit
2026-08-26	sec_top_gappers	+2.2%	+1.7%	✓ hit
2026-08-26	sec_top_moat_emerging	+2.2%	+1.7%	✓ hit

Lifetime: 3/8 wins · hit-rate 37.5% on +2% intraday

Earnings Catalyst

No recent earnings event.

Auto-generated from public filings + tier-1 wires. Catalyst Edge publishes its picks and its losses — see the trust report and methodology. Not financial advice. Confirm independently before trading.

You came here for ESOA. You found it after it moved, the same way everyone else did.

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Tier 1 setups touched +2% intraday 47.7% of the time across 405 tracked calls. Baseline for everything else: 39.8%. That is a +7.9 point edge, measured from the NEXT OPEN — the first price you could actually pay, not the prior close. We publish the misses too: https://catalystedgescanner.com/trust/

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