What is the Catalyst Edge convergence score for ETSY?

As of 2026-11-05, ETSY has a convergence score of -15 with conviction tier AVOID and 6 independent signals firing. Score is a weighted aggregate across SEC filings, insider activity, options flow, dark-pool prints, short-squeeze metrics, and macro regime.

How is ETSY's score calculated?

Each signal contributes weighted points; weights are auto-tuned weekly against published outcome history. Full methodology + audit at https://catalystedgescanner.com/methodology/ and https://catalystedgescanner.com/trust/.

How accurate has Catalyst Edge been on ETSY?

On the last 6 published picks featuring ETSY, 2 hit the +2% intraday threshold (33% hit rate). Outcomes audited daily.

Catalyst Edge · Scanner · Tickers · ETSY

CATALYST DOSSIER · UPDATED 2026-11-05

$ETSY

industrials · convergence -15 · conviction AVOID

Convergence Score

-15

Conviction

AVOID

Signals Firing

Track Record

2/6

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Why $ETSY?

ETSY -15 AVOID industrials

Quantitative

Net Income (CY2026Q2): $-46.6M (-261.8% YoY)

Catalysts

Multi-spoke convergence: 6 convergent signals fired: finra_short, sc13d, oge_exec, auto_macro_adp_payrolls, auto_macro_durable_goods

Risks

Position-sizing discipline: Conviction AVOID (-15 score) — size accordingly; no specific catalyst-fade risk flagged

Bear case

Squeeze unwind: Short interest can compress before retail catches the move — entry timing critical

Sympathy basket (cerebro)

DIOD via semis r=+0.72 sympathetic (score 11)
ARRY via semis r=+0.72 sympathetic (score 9)
VSEC via industrials r=+0.00 intra-sector (score 23)
GNK via industrials r=+0.00 intra-sector (score 14)
RAIL via industrials r=+0.00 intra-sector (score 7)
CDLR via industrials r=+0.00 intra-sector (score 5)

Signals Firing

finra_shortsc13doge_execauto_macro_adp_payrollsauto_macro_durable_goodsauto_macro_fx_rates

Each tag is a spoke that flagged this ticker today. Weights tuned weekly against published outcomes.

Pick Track Record

Date	List	Next-day max run	Next-day close	Hit +2%?
2026-10-28	sec_top_gappers	+1.5%	-0.8%	—
2026-10-28	sec_top_moat_emerging	+1.5%	-0.8%	—
2026-10-09	sec_top_gappers	+2.3%	+0.3%	✓ hit
2026-10-09	sec_top_moat_emerging	+2.3%	+0.3%	✓ hit
2026-10-02	sec_top_gappers	-0.5%	-2.6%	—
2026-10-02	sec_top_moat_emerging	-0.5%	-2.6%	—

Lifetime: 2/6 wins · hit-rate 33.3% on +2% intraday

Sympathy Basket

DIODvia semis · score 11
ARRYvia semis · score 9
VSECvia industrials · score 23
GNKvia industrials · score 14
RAILvia industrials · score 7
CDLRvia industrials · score 5

Tickers Catalyst Edge tracks as moving with this name. Cross-correlation derived from sector + score-cohort proximity.

Earnings Catalyst

No recent earnings event.

Auto-generated from public filings + tier-1 wires. Catalyst Edge publishes its picks and its losses — see the trust report and methodology. Not financial advice. Confirm independently before trading.

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