CATALYST DOSSIER · UPDATED 2026-11-04
$EVRG
utilities · convergence 23 · conviction ELEVATED
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Why $EVRG?
Quantitative
Forward EPS estimate : $$2.30 (vs $$2.03 last yr YoY)
Market cap : $19,955,589,100
Convergence score : 23 (10 signals firing YoY)
Catalysts
Multi-spoke convergence : 10 convergent signals fired: earnings, oge_exec, pill, gamma, fed_overlay
Risks
Position-sizing discipline : Conviction ELEVATED (23 score) — size accordingly; no specific catalyst-fade risk flagged
Bear case
Orphan-aggregator sector lean against : Sector utilities aggregating -3 from 31 alt-data spokes
Sympathy basket (cerebro)
AEI via real_estate r=+0.91 sympathetic (score 10)
OPEN via real_estate r=+0.91 sympathetic (score 9)
REED via staples r=+0.81 sympathetic (score 14)
BGS via staples r=+0.81 sympathetic (score 11)
SKYD via comms r=-0.69 divergent (score 18)
CHTR via comms r=-0.69 divergent (score 13)
Signals Firing
earnings oge_exec pill gamma fed_overlay auto_sec_poison_pill auto_macro_adp_payrolls auto_macro_durable_goods auto_macro_fx_rates auto_macro_options_gex
Pick Track Record Date List Next-day max run Next-day close Hit +2%? 2026-10-09 sec_top_gappers +0.7% +0.7% — 2026-10-09 sec_top_moat_emerging +0.7% +0.7% — 2026-09-16 sec_top_gappers +1.0% +0.6% — 2026-09-16 sec_top_moat_emerging +1.0% +0.6% —
Lifetime: 0/4 wins · hit-rate 0.0% on +2% intraday
Sympathy Basket AEI via real_estate · score 10 OPEN via real_estate · score 9 REED via staples · score 14 BGS via staples · score 11 SKYD via comms · score 18 CHTR via comms · score 13
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