CATALYST DOSSIER · UPDATED 2026-11-09
$FDUS
Unclassified · convergence — · conviction —
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Why $FDUS?
Quantitative
Forward EPS estimate : $$0.51 (vs $$0.50 last yr YoY)
Market cap : $704,433,020
Convergence score : -4 (5 signals firing YoY)
Catalysts
Multi-spoke convergence : 5 convergent signals fired: earnings, fed_overlay, sector_overlay, auto_sec_geopol, auto_macro_yield_curve
Risks
Position-sizing discipline : Conviction WATCH (-4 score) — size accordingly; no specific catalyst-fade risk flagged
Bear case
Earnings binary : Print-day moves can swing ±15% — gap risk both directions
Sympathy basket (cerebro)
CTVA via materials r=+0.98 sympathetic (score 39)
BKV via materials r=+0.98 sympathetic (score 22)
DK via energy r=-0.93 divergent (score 32)
GEVO via energy r=-0.93 divergent (score -6)
EVRG via utilities r=+0.87 sympathetic (score 19)
NI via utilities r=+0.87 sympathetic (score 13)
Signals Firing
No active signals this cycle.
Earnings Catalyst No recent earnings event.
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Not financial advice. Confirm independently before trading.