What is the Catalyst Edge convergence score for FOIL?

As of 2026-11-12, FOIL has a convergence score of -11 with conviction tier AVOID and 6 independent signals firing. Score is a weighted aggregate across SEC filings, insider activity, options flow, dark-pool prints, short-squeeze metrics, and macro regime.

How is FOIL's score calculated?

Each signal contributes weighted points; weights are auto-tuned weekly against published outcome history. Full methodology + audit at https://catalystedgescanner.com/methodology/ and https://catalystedgescanner.com/trust/.

How accurate has Catalyst Edge been on FOIL?

On the last 4 published picks featuring FOIL, 4 hit the +2% intraday threshold (100% hit rate). Outcomes audited daily.

FOIL — Catalyst score -11 (AVOID) · materials

$FOIL

materials · convergence -11 · conviction AVOID

Convergence Score

-11

Conviction

AVOID

Signals Firing

Track Record

4/4

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Why $FOIL?

FOIL -11 AVOID materials

Quantitative

Convergence score: -11 (6 signals firing YoY)

Catalysts

Multi-spoke convergence: 6 convergent signals fired: sc13d, audit_extras, auto_macro_adp_payrolls, auto_macro_banrep_colombia, auto_macro_bls_employment

Risks

Position-sizing discipline: Conviction AVOID (-11 score) — size accordingly; no specific catalyst-fade risk flagged

Bear case

Multiple compression: If breadth deteriorates, materials-wide multiples re-rate lower regardless of pick-specific thesis

Sympathy basket (cerebro)

OPEN via real_estate r=+0.97 sympathetic (score 0)
AEI via real_estate r=+0.97 sympathetic (score -2)
LUNR via industrials r=+0.97 sympathetic (score 26)
IBP via industrials r=+0.97 sympathetic (score 17)
ONDS via comms r=+0.96 sympathetic (score 4)
FWONA via comms r=+0.96 sympathetic (score 2)

Signals Firing

sc13daudit_extrasauto_macro_adp_payrollsauto_macro_banrep_colombiaauto_macro_bls_employmentauto_macro_durable_goods

Each tag is a spoke that flagged this ticker today. Weights tuned weekly against published outcomes.

Pick Track Record

Date	List	Next-day max run	Next-day close	Hit +2%?
2026-11-10	sec_top_gappers	+5.4%	+2.1%	✓ hit
2026-11-10	sec_top_moat_emerging	+5.4%	+2.1%	✓ hit
2026-09-14	sec_top_gappers	+2.5%	-3.4%	✓ hit
2026-09-14	sec_top_moat_emerging	+2.5%	-3.4%	✓ hit

Lifetime: 4/4 wins · hit-rate 100.0% on +2% intraday

Sympathy Basket

OPENvia real_estate · score 0
AEIvia real_estate · score -2
LUNRvia industrials · score 26
IBPvia industrials · score 17
ONDSvia comms · score 4
FWONAvia comms · score 2

Tickers Catalyst Edge tracks as moving with this name. Cross-correlation derived from sector + score-cohort proximity.

Earnings Catalyst

No recent earnings event.

Auto-generated from public filings + tier-1 wires. Catalyst Edge publishes its picks and its losses — see the trust report and methodology. Not financial advice. Confirm independently before trading.

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